The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
NovaRomentin 20.5%
Draw 27%
Varese 52.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23%
25.8%
51.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.5%
23.3%
46.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
NovaRomentin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
Varese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for NovaRomentin than the current prediction. (+5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varese than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Varese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
NovaRomentin - Varese Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Bayo I. ⚽,
32', 2 - 0, ⚽,
38', 3 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
74', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: )).
NovaRomentin has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Varese has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Varese may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Varese is the team to beat.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, NovaRomentin won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
Including home match between the teams, NovaRomentin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
Watch
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