Match Info

Serie D - Group A - Round 18

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	NovaRomentin		Valenzana Mado

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.25	2.25
	2.72	3.2	2.32
	2.64	3.2	2.49	Watch
	2.63	3	2.45
	2.61	3.16	2.42
	2.57	3.14	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↓ (3.2)	3.16 ↓ (3.18)	2.41 ↑ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

NovaRomentin
34.1%

Draw
28.5%

Valenzana Mado
37.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28.3%

28.6%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

27.3%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

NovaRomentin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in NovaRomentin's performance.

Valenzana Mado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Valenzana Mado might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for NovaRomentin than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valenzana Mado than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

NovaRomentin - Valenzana Mado Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', 0 - 1, Palazzolo N. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 10).

NovaRomentin has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Valenzana is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Valenzana is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Valenzana	9	1	2	6	9:16	-7	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SSD NovaRomentin
Italian Serie D - Group A
21.12.25	NovaRomentin - Ligorna	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	Vado - NovaRomentin	6:0 ✺
30.11.25	Imperia - NovaRomentin	3:0 ✺
23.11.25	NovaRomentin - Sestri Levante	0:5 ✺
16.11.25	Derthona - NovaRomentin	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLLLL
- Valenzana Mado
Italian Serie D - Group A
21.12.25	Chisola - Valenzana Mado	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Valenzana Mado - Cairese	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	Lavagnese - Valenzana Mado	2:0 ✺
30.11.25	Gozzano - Valenzana Mado	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Valenzana Mado - Varese	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LTLWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valenzana Mado
Coppa Italia Serie D
28.10.26	Valenzana Mado - Biellese	✺

NovaRomentin - Valenzana Mado