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Current Win Probability
NovaRomentin 9.5%
Draw 18%
Ligorna 72.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
19%
25.7%
55.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
18.8%
25.4%
56%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
NovaRomentin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that NovaRomentin's form might have worsened.
Ligorna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ligorna's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for NovaRomentin than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for NovaRomentin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ligorna than the current prediction. (-16.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ligorna, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
NovaRomentin - Ligorna Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: )).
NovaRomentin has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Ligorna is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
NovaRomentin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Ligorna is the team to beat.
We predict that Ligorna will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, NovaRomentin won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).
Including home match between the teams, NovaRomentin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
Watch
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