Match Info
Serie D - Group A - Round 12Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday
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 |
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Derthona |
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NovaRomentin |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.4 |
3.15 |
2.62 |
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 |
2.23 |
3.31 |
2.82 |
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 |
2.23 |
3.29 |
2.93 |
Watch |
 |
2.35 |
3.13 |
2.82 |
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 |
2.22 |
3.3 |
2.9 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.29 ↓ (4.95) |
3.24 ↓ (3.95) |
2.82 ↑ (1.52) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Derthona 39.7% | Draw 28.1% | NovaRomentin 32.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derthona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Derthona's performance.NovaRomentin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-26.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and NovaRomentin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derthona than the current prediction. (-16.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Derthona that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for NovaRomentin than the current prediction. (+13.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that NovaRomentin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Derthona - NovaRomentin Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 31', 1 - 0, Buongiorno D. ⚽,
- 44', 2 - 0, Buongiorno D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 50', 3 - 0, Daffonchio A. ⚽,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out: )).Recent performances by Derthona have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).NovaRomentin has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1). In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Derthona won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:7. (average 1:3.5).Including home match between the teams, Derthona won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:6.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;