Match Info

Serie D - Group A - Round 16

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday


	Vado		NovaRomentin

	1	X	2
	1.32	4.28	10.1	Watch
	1.34	3.86	10.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.85)	4.07 ↑ (3.62)	10.2 ↑ (3.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vado
68.6%

Draw
22.4%

NovaRomentin
8.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vado's performance.

NovaRomentin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and NovaRomentin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vado than the current prediction. (-17.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vado that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for NovaRomentin than the current prediction. (+15.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that NovaRomentin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Vado - NovaRomentin Predictions

Users Predictions: Vado will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Vado will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, De Rinaldis M. ⚽,
25', 2 - 0, Alfiero V. ⚽,
27', 3 - 0, Alfiero V. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
90+13', 4 - 0, ⚽,
90+13', 5 - 0, ⚽,
90+13', 6 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Vado is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

NovaRomentin has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Vado may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Vado is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Vado won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Vado won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Vado
Italian Serie D - Group A
07.12.25	Cairese - Vado	0:0 ✺
30.11.25	Vado - Lavagnese	1:0 ✺
26.11.25	Vado - Gozzano	1:2 ✺
23.11.25	Chisola - Vado	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Valenzana Mado - Vado	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TWLWW
- SSD NovaRomentin
Italian Serie D - Group A
30.11.25	Imperia - NovaRomentin	3:0 ✺
23.11.25	NovaRomentin - Sestri Levante	0:5 ✺
16.11.25	Derthona - NovaRomentin	3:0 ✺
09.11.25	NovaRomentin - Saluzzo	1:4 ✺
02.11.25	Unione Sanremo - NovaRomentin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
18.05.25	NovaRomentin - Vado	2:0
11.01.25	NovaRomentin - Vado	1:3
14.09.24	Vado - NovaRomentin	2:1

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