Match Info

Date: 18 December 2021, Saturday


	Novara		Gozzano

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.2	3.9
	1.85	3.3	4
	1.67	3.35	4.2
	1.68	3.39	4.26
	1.71	3.54	4.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (2.06)	3.36 ↑ (3.33)	4.18 ↑ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Novara
51.6%

Draw
26.8%

Gozzano
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

27%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

20.7%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Novara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Novara's performance.

Gozzano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gozzano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novara than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Novara, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gozzano than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Novara - Gozzano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 8).

Novara in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Gozzano is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Novara could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Novara will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Novara won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Novara won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Novara Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group A
12.12.21	Fossano - Novara	0:3 ✺
08.12.21	Novara - Lavagnese	1:0 ✺
05.12.21	PDHAE - Novara	2:2 ✺
28.11.21	Novara - Saluzzo	4:0 ✺
21.11.21	Caronnese - Novara	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWTWW
- AC Gozzano
Italian Serie D - Group A
12.12.21	Lavagnese - Gozzano	0:2 ✺
04.12.21	Saluzzo - Gozzano	0:2 ✺
28.11.21	Gozzano - Fossano	4:0 ✺
21.11.21	Casale - Gozzano	2:0 ✺
14.11.21	Gozzano - PDHAE	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
09.02.20	Novara - Gozzano	4:1
25.09.19	Gozzano - Novara	1:2
23.03.19	Gozzano - Novara	0:0
25.11.18	Novara - Gozzano	0:0

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