Match Info

Date: 20 February 2022, Sunday


	Novara		Ligorna

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.33	6.25
	1.38	4.35	6.1
	1.39	4.33	6.09
	1.43	4.3	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.41)	4.33 ↑ (3.8)	6.21 ↑ (5.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Novara
64.6%

Draw
20.8%

Ligorna
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.5%

22.8%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

13.1%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Novara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Ligorna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Novara than the current prediction. (-29.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Novara that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ligorna than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ligorna could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Novara - Ligorna Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 14).

Novara in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ligorna is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Novara could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Novara is certain favorite.

In this match Novara is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Novara won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Novara Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group A
16.02.22	Bra - Novara	1:1 ✺
13.02.22	Novara - Imperia	2:1 ✺
06.02.22	Varese - Novara	0:1 ✺
02.02.22	Novara - Borgosesia	2:0 ✺
30.01.22	Asti - Novara	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWWWW
- SCD Ligorna 1922
Italian Serie D - Group A
16.02.22	Ligorna - Chieri	1:0 ✺
13.02.22	Lavagnese - Ligorna	1:2 ✺
09.02.22	Ligorna - Caronnese	0:1 ✺
06.02.22	Ligorna - Gozzano	0:0 ✺
02.02.22	Saluzzo - Ligorna	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
17.10.21	Ligorna - Novara	2:2

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