The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Dolomiti Bellunesi 26.6%
Draw 30.5%
Novara 42.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.6%
29.9%
33.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38%
28.8%
32.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dolomiti Bellunesi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dolomiti Bellunesi's form might have worsened.
Novara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Novara's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dolomiti Bellunesi than the current prediction. (+11.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dolomiti Bellunesi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Novara than the current prediction. (-10.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Novara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Dolomiti Bellunesi - Novara Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Novara (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Novara (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Sonzogni L. (G) 27. Saccani M. 23. Mondonico D. 24. Gobetti N. 3. Migliardi F. 42. Montenegro L. 25. Ba R. 7. Cossalter T. (C) 10. Clemenza L. 8. Agosti L. 9. Toci E.
33. Brancolini F. (G) 42. Moretti L. 58. Miceli M. 5. Lorenzini F. 3. Lartey S. 19. Collodel R. (C) 99. Basso G. 70. Valdesi A. 14. Romano M. 7. Lanini E. 9. Zuppel D.
Substitutes
29. Abati L. (G) 6. Barbini M. 77. Beltaief Z. 49. Casanova K. 94. Costa S. (G) 99. Estrella Galeazzi F. 20. Kowalski M. 4. Lewis N. 30. Morreale M. 11. Sia D. 5. Trabucchi N. 45. Zidouh T.
22. Anfossi P. (G) 36. Arboscello R. 1. Boseggia E. (G) 28. Cannavaro A. 21. Cortese A. 20. da Graca C. 71. D'Alessio L. 8. Dell'Erba D. 15. Khailoti O. 11. Ledonne N. 23. Zambataro E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
9', Valdesi A. 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Agosti L. ⚽, Saccani M. (A),
28', Moretti L. ↓, Cannavaro A. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Toci E. ↓, Estrella Galeazzi F. ↑,
60', Lanini E. ↓, Ledonne N. ↑,
60', Romano M. ↓, da Graca C. ↑,
62', Miceli M. 🟨,
66', Clemenza L. ↓, Sia D. ↑,
74', Basso G. 🟨,
82', Valdesi A. ↓, Zambataro E. ↑,
82', Basso G. ↓, Arboscello R. ↑,
83', Migliardi F. ↓, Trabucchi N. ↑,
83', Montenegro L. ↓, Kowalski M. ↑,
89', 1 - 1, Lorenzini F. ⚽, Lartey S. (A),
90', 1 - 2, Zambataro E. ⚽, Zuppel D. (A),
90+1', Agosti L. ↓, Beltaief Z. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 9th in the Promotion - Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs (1/32 - finals) and 18th in the Serie C - Play Out).
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Novara could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Dolomiti Bellunesi has recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:2 (averaging 1:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Dolomiti Bellunesi against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
9
Dolomiti Bellunesi
8
2
4
2
7:7
0
10
11
Novara
8
2
3
3
8:10
-2
9
Last Results with these Odds
Novara - the odds 2.75 are the expected chance of winning is 33.43%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Italy
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Sonzogni L. (G) 
Ba R. 
Agosti L. 
Toci E. 
Lartey S. 
Beltaief Z. 
Estrella Galeazzi F. 
Kowalski M. 
Lewis N. 
Dell'Erba D. 
Khailoti O. 
