Match Info

Date: 14 March 2021, Sunday


	Novelda		Crevillente Deportivo

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.7	2.43
	2.8	2.75	2.55
	2.91	2.81	2.63
	3	2.96	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.76)	2.81 ↓ (2.91)	2.52 ↓ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Novelda
31.7%

Draw
32.3%

Crevillente Deportivo
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

31.6%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

21.9%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Novelda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Crevillente Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novelda than the current prediction. (+16.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Novelda, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crevillente Deportivo than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Crevillente Deportivo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Novelda - Crevillente Deportivo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 10 in the zone Tercera Division to Group 6 (Relegation Group) and 9 in the zone Tercera Division to Group 6 (Relegation Group)).

Recent matches Novelda is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Crevillente is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Crevillente could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Novelda won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Novelda won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Novelda CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
07.03.21	Novelda - Elche Ilicitano	1:1 ✺
03.03.21	Novelda - Intercity	0:1 ✺
28.02.21	Eldense - Novelda	2:0 ✺
21.02.21	Hércules B - Novelda	1:1 ✺
17.02.21	Novelda - Español de San Vicente	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TLLTW
- Crevillente Deportivo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
07.03.21	Intercity - Crevillente Deportivo	3:0 ✺
03.03.21	Español de San Vicente - Crevillente Deportivo	0:0 ✺
27.02.21	Crevillente Deportivo - Villajoyosa	0:0 ✺
21.02.21	Crevillente Deportivo - Elche Ilicitano	1:3 ✺
17.02.21	Olímpic de Xàtiva - Crevillente Deportivo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
13.12.20	Crevillente Deportivo - Novelda	1:0
04.01.20	Novelda - Crevillente Deportivo	0:0
22.12.18	Novelda - Crevillente Deportivo	1:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
22.10.17	Crevillente Deportivo - Novelda	1:1

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