Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 27

Date: 11 March 2023, Saturday

Location: Instalaciones de Zubieta (Lasarte-Oria, Basque Country)


	Real Sociedad B		Numancia

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	3.1
	2.2	2.87	3.1
	2.2	2.9	3.35
	2.25	3.04	3.43
	2.19	3.08	3.4
	2.27	3	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.52)	3 ↑ (2.7)	3.25 ↑ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Sociedad B
41.4%

Draw
30.5%

Numancia
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

33.9%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

35.7%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Sociedad B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Sociedad B's performance.

Numancia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad B than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Real Sociedad B - Numancia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 8).

Recent matches Real Sociedad B is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Numancia is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Real Sociedad B will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Real Sociedad B won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Sociedad B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
05.03.23	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Real Sociedad B	2:0 ✺
26.02.23	Real Sociedad B - Athletic Bilbao B	0:0 ✺
19.02.23	Alcoyano - Real Sociedad B	1:1 ✺
11.02.23	Real Sociedad B - Real Unión de Irun	2:0 ✺
04.02.23	Real Murcia - Real Sociedad B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTTWT
- CD Numancia
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
05.03.23	Numancia - Atlético Baleares	0:0 ✺
26.02.23	La Nucía - Numancia	0:1 ✺
19.02.23	Numancia - Gimnástic de Tarragona	3:1 ✺
11.02.23	Sabadell - Numancia	0:1 ✺
05.02.23	Numancia - Calahorra	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
08.10.22	Numancia - Real Sociedad B	1:0
Club Friendly
06.08.16	Numancia - Real Sociedad B	4:0

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