Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 29

Date: 26 March 2023, Sunday


	Numancia		Real Murcia

	1	X	2
	2.6	2.75	2.75
	2.55	2.6	2.87
	2.65	2.6	2.9
	2.78	2.65	3.06
	2.67	2.83	2.88
	2.6	2.75	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↓ (2.75)	2.7 ↑ (2.63)	2.89 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Numancia
34.5%

Draw
33.8%

Real Murcia
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

34.5%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

37.6%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Numancia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Real Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Numancia - Real Murcia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 8 and 6).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Numancia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Numancia won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Numancia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Numancia
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
19.03.23	Numancia - Castellón	0:0 ✺
11.03.23	Real Sociedad B - Numancia	3:0 ✺
05.03.23	Numancia - Atlético Baleares	0:0 ✺
26.02.23	La Nucía - Numancia	0:1 ✺
19.02.23	Numancia - Gimnástic de Tarragona	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TLTWW
- Real Murcia
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
18.03.23	Real Murcia - La Nucía	0:0 ✺
12.03.23	Sabadell - Real Murcia	0:0 ✺
05.03.23	Real Murcia - Barcelona B	1:1 ✺
25.02.23	Calahorra - Real Murcia	1:1 ✺
19.02.23	UD Logroñés - Real Murcia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
17.09.22	Real Murcia - Numancia	0:0
Spanish LaLiga2
02.03.14	Numancia - Real Murcia	1:0
29.09.13	Real Murcia - Numancia	2:1
23.02.13	Real Murcia - Numancia	0:0
23.09.12	Numancia - Real Murcia	1:0
03.03.12	Numancia - Real Murcia	N/A

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