Match Info

Date: 20 February 2022, Sunday


	Numancia		Ejea

	1	X	2
	1.35	4.1	8.25
	1.4	4	7
	1.4	3.95	7
	1.41	4.11	9.1
	1.4	4.15	7.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.32)	4.06 ↓ (4.1)	7.85 ↓ (9.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Numancia
65.8%

Draw
22.5%

Ejea
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.2%

21.9%

9.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

10.3%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Numancia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Ejea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (-33.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Numancia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ejea than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ejea could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Numancia - Ejea Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Numancia is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Ejea is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Numancia is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Numancia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Numancia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
13.02.22	Peña Deportiva - Numancia	1:1 ✺
06.02.22	Numancia - Terrassa	2:0 ✺
30.01.22	Cerdanyola del Vallès - Numancia	2:2 ✺
23.01.22	Numancia - Espanyol B	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
30.12.21	Numancia - Racing Rioja	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TWTWW
- SD Ejea
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
13.02.22	Ejea - Brea	1:1 ✺
06.02.22	Huesca B - Ejea	2:3 ✺
30.01.22	Formentera - Ejea	1:1 ✺
23.01.22	Ejea - Peña Deportiva	0:1 ✺
09.01.22	Ejea - Terrassa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.2 TWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
03.10.21	Ejea - Numancia	0:0

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