Match Info

Date: 13 February 2022, Sunday


	Peña Deportiva		Numancia

	1	X	2
	2.95	2.95	2.25
	3	2.85	2.3
	2.75	3.05	2.36
	2.88	2.98	2.62
	2.77	3.15	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↓ (3.08)	3 ↑ (2.88)	2.4 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Peña Deportiva
31.7%

Draw
30.4%

Numancia
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

31.5%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.2%

22.8%

54.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peña Deportiva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Numancia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peña Deportiva than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Peña Deportiva that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (+16.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Numancia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Peña Deportiva - Numancia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Recent matches Peña Deportiva is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Numancia is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Peña Deportiva won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peña Deportiva
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
06.02.22	Brea - Peña Deportiva	1:1 ✺
30.01.22	Peña Deportiva - Huesca B	0:2 ✺
23.01.22	Ejea - Peña Deportiva	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
13.01.22	Ibiza - Peña Deportiva	1:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
09.01.22	Peña Deportiva - Formentera	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TLWTL
- CD Numancia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
06.02.22	Numancia - Terrassa	2:0 ✺
30.01.22	Cerdanyola del Vallès - Numancia	2:2 ✺
23.01.22	Numancia - Espanyol B	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
30.12.21	Numancia - Racing Rioja	5:0 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
19.12.21	Ebro - Numancia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
26.09.21	Numancia - Peña Deportiva	2:1

Upcoming Matches