Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 4

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday


	Numancia		Gimnástica Segoviana

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.3	4.05
	2.04	3.2	3.69
	2.68	2.26	3.75	Watch
	2.07	3.42	3.42
	2.55	3.28	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.54)	3.09 ↓ (3.25)	3.49 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Numancia
42.4%

Draw
30.5%

Gimnástica Segoviana
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

27.9%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

28.4%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Numancia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Numancia's performance.

Gimnástica Segoviana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gimnástica Segoviana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Numancia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnástica Segoviana than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gimnástica Segoviana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Numancia - Gimnástica Segoviana Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+4', 1 - 0, Jony ⚽,

Preview

Recent form of Numancia has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

G Segoviana is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Numancia might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Numancia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Numancia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Numancia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
21.09.25	Bergantiños - Numancia	3:1 ✺
14.09.25	Numancia - Rayo Cantabria	2:1 ✺
06.09.25	Lealtad - Numancia	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
28.08.25	Numancia - Conquense	1:2 ✺
22.08.25	Numancia - Tarazona	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LWTLL
- Gimnástica Segoviana
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
21.09.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - Sarriana	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Valladolid B - Gimnástica Segoviana	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
27.08.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - Colonia Moscardó	3:0 ✺
20.08.25	Palencia CA - Gimnástica Segoviana	2:3 ✺
16.08.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - Navalcarnero	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
14.01.24	Numancia - Gimnástica Segoviana	3:1
03.09.23	Gimnástica Segoviana - Numancia	2:0
Club Friendly
06.08.22	Gimnástica Segoviana - Numancia	0:1

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