Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 8 - ROUND 25

Date: 18 March 2023, Saturday


	Numancia B		Atlético Astorga

	1	X	2
	3.75	3	1.9
	3.94	3.04	1.88
	3.94	3.1	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.88 ↑ (3.74)	3.05 ↑ (2.99)	1.91 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Numancia B
23.2%

Draw
29.6%

Atlético Astorga
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.4%

29.3%

47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

27.7%

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Numancia B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Atlético Astorga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Numancia B than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Astorga than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Numancia B won 2.

Numancia B is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Atlético Astorga is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Atlético Astorga is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Numancia B won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Numancia B won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Numancia B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
12.03.23	Salamanca - Numancia B	0:0 ✺
05.03.23	Mirandés B - Numancia B	2:0 ✺
25.02.23	Numancia B - Becerril	1:0 ✺
18.02.23	Atlético Tordesillas - Numancia B	1:0 ✺
12.02.23	Numancia B - Bembibre	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TLWLL
- Atlético Astorga
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
11.03.23	Atlético Astorga - Becerril	2:1 ✺
05.03.23	Atlético Tordesillas - Atlético Astorga	0:0 ✺
25.02.23	Atlético Astorga - Bembibre	1:1 ✺
18.02.23	La Virgen del Camino - Atlético Astorga	1:1 ✺
11.02.23	Atlético Astorga - Leonesa B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
19.11.22	Atlético Astorga - Numancia B	4:0
05.03.22	Numancia B - Atlético Astorga	2:3
23.10.21	Atlético Astorga - Numancia B	0:1
17.04.21	Atlético Astorga - Numancia B	4:0
08.02.20	Atlético Astorga - Numancia B	0:1
15.09.19	Numancia B - Atlético Astorga	2:0
22.09.18	Atlético Astorga - Numancia B	1:2

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