Match Info

Date: 26 February 2022, Saturday


	Nuova Cosenza		Alessandria

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.8	2.7	Watch
	2.85	2.8	2.75
	3	2.8	2.7	Watch
	2.75	2.8	2.75
	2.94	2.95	2.87
	2.6	2.9	2.9
	2.88	2.85	2.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.5)	2.84 ↓ (3.1)	2.79 ↓ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nuova Cosenza
33.3%

Draw
33%

Alessandria
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

30.2%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

22%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nuova Cosenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Alessandria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuova Cosenza than the current prediction. (+18.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nuova Cosenza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alessandria than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alessandria, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Nuova Cosenza - Alessandria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Cosenza has the most likely position - 17 (31.09%), has project points - 32, has currently - 20, has a good chance of relegated (79%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Alessandria has the most likely position - 16 (35.28%), has project points - 38, has currently - 23, has a chance of relegated (34%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 20, importance 57, match rating 39. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

The competitors look crappy now.

Alessandria could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Cosenza won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Cosenza won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nuova Cosenza
Italian Serie B
23.02.22	Crotone - Nuova Cosenza	3:3 ✺
20.02.22	Como - Nuova Cosenza	2:1 ✺
15.02.22	Nuova Cosenza - Perugia	1:2 ✺
12.02.22	Vicenza Virtus - Nuova Cosenza	0:0 ✺
05.02.22	Nuova Cosenza - Brescia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TLLTT
- Alessandria 1912
Italian Serie B
22.02.22	Alessandria - Perugia	1:2 ✺
19.02.22	Ascoli - Alessandria	3:0 ✺
16.02.22	Alessandria - Lecce	1:1 ✺
13.02.22	Brescia - Alessandria	1:1 ✺
05.02.22	Alessandria - Pisa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
02.10.21	Alessandria - Nuova Cosenza	1:0
Coppa Italia
30.09.20	Nuova Cosenza - Alessandria	1:0 penalties
30.07.17	Nuova Cosenza - Alessandria	2:3 ET

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