Match Info

Date: 16 February 2022, Wednesday


	Alessandria		Lecce

	1	X	2
	4	3	2.05	Watch
	3.6	3.1	2.1
	3.85	3.05	2.1	Watch
	3.8	2.95	2.07
	4.07	3.14	2.15
	4.2	3.4	1.85
	3.88	3.1	2.13	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.91 ↓ (3.97)	3.11 ↓ (3.25)	2.06 ↓ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alessandria
24.1%

Draw
30.3%

Lecce
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.2%

29.5%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

19.1%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alessandria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Lecce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alessandria than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alessandria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (-15.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lecce, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alessandria - Lecce Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

Alessandria has the most likely position - 16 (20.92%), has project points - 40, has currently - 22, has a chance of relegated (27%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Lecce has the most likely position - 1 (29.28%), has project points - 70, has currently - 42, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (46%), has a good chance of promoted (63%), has a chance of win league (29%).

This event has quality 32, importance 52, match rating 42. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Lecce will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Alessandria won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Alessandria won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alessandria 1912
Italian Serie B
13.02.22	Brescia - Alessandria	1:1 ✺
05.02.22	Alessandria - Pisa	1:1 ✺
30.01.22	Vicenza Virtus - Alessandria	2:1 ✺
22.01.22	Alessandria - Benevento	2:0 ✺
19.12.21	Alessandria - Parma	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TTLWL
- US Lecce
Italian Serie B
13.02.22	Lecce - Benevento	1:1 ✺
05.02.22	Como - Lecce	1:1 ✺
26.01.22	Lecce - Vicenza Virtus	2:1 ✺
23.01.22	Lecce - Cremonese	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
20.01.22	Roma - Lecce	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
18.09.21	Lecce - Alessandria	3:2
Italian Lega Pro - Promotion
04.06.17	Alessandria - Lecce	0:0
31.05.17	Lecce - Alessandria	1:1

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