Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 15

Date: 4 December 2022, Sunday

Location: Stadio San Vito (Cosenza)

Referee: Feliciani E. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Nuova Cosenza		Perugia

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.2	2.3	Watch
	3.2	3	2.35
	3.25	3.1	2.3
	3.15	3	2.33
	3.38	3.22	2.37
	3.3	3	2.3
	3.25	3.24	2.25	Watch
	3.15	3.1	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (2.93)	3.11 ↑ (3.1)	2.32 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nuova Cosenza
29.1%

Draw
30.3%

Perugia
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

30.1%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

29.5%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nuova Cosenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Perugia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuova Cosenza than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.8%	36.8%	47.4%

Nuova Cosenza - Perugia Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Cosenza will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). Perugia will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 36.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Perugia: 24.9% – 69.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Cosenza has the most likely position - 20 (20.75%), has project points - 39, has currently - 15, has a good chance of relegated (60%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (4%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Perugia has the most likely position - 20 (21.83%), has project points - 39, has currently - 11, has a good chance of relegated (59%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (4%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 24, importance 52, match rating 38. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cosenza won 2.

Cosenza is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Perugia is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Cosenza won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Cosenza won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nuova Cosenza
Italian Serie B
27.11.22	Cittadella - Nuova Cosenza	1:1 ✺
12.11.22	Nuova Cosenza - Palermo	3:2 ✺
05.11.22	Pisa - Nuova Cosenza	3:1 ✺
29.10.22	Nuova Cosenza - Frosinone	1:2 ✺
22.10.22	SPAL - Nuova Cosenza	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TWLLL
- Perugia Calcio
Italian Serie B
27.11.22	Perugia - Genoa	1:0 ✺
12.11.22	Modena - Perugia	1:1 ✺
05.11.22	Frosinone - Perugia	1:0 ✺
30.10.22	Perugia - Cittadella	0:2 ✺
22.10.22	Reggina - Perugia	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
15.02.22	Nuova Cosenza - Perugia	1:2
18.09.21	Perugia - Nuova Cosenza	1:1
13.07.20	Nuova Cosenza - Perugia	2:1
09.12.19	Perugia - Nuova Cosenza	2:2
23.02.19	Perugia - Nuova Cosenza	0:1
30.09.18	Nuova Cosenza - Perugia	1:1

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