Match Info

Date: 22 February 2022, Tuesday


	Alessandria		Perugia

	1	X	2
	3	2.87	2.37	Watch
	3.1	2.9	2.45
	3.15	2.9	2.5	Watch
	3.05	2.8	2.47
	3.36	2.92	2.58
	3	2.87	2.55
	3.15	2.95	2.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↑ (2.91)	2.89 ↑ (2.89)	2.49 ↓ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Alessandria
30%

Draw
32.4%

Perugia
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

32.7%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

23.9%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alessandria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Perugia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alessandria than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alessandria that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Perugia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alessandria - Perugia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out) and 9).

Alessandria has the most likely position - 16 (28.74%), has project points - 39, has currently - 23, has a chance of relegated (27%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Perugia has the most likely position - 9 (12.44%), has project points - 57, has currently - 38, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (48%), has a small chance of promoted (9%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 28, small importance 27, small match rating 27. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Alessandria is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Perugia is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Alessandria won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alessandria 1912
Italian Serie B
19.02.22	Ascoli - Alessandria	3:0 ✺
16.02.22	Alessandria - Lecce	1:1 ✺
13.02.22	Brescia - Alessandria	1:1 ✺
05.02.22	Alessandria - Pisa	1:1 ✺
30.01.22	Vicenza Virtus - Alessandria	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LTTTL
- Perugia Calcio
Italian Serie B
19.02.22	Perugia - Cremonese	0:0 ✺
15.02.22	Nuova Cosenza - Perugia	1:2 ✺
12.02.22	Perugia - Frosinone	3:0 ✺
05.02.22	Ascoli - Perugia	0:1 ✺
22.01.22	Perugia - Pordenone	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
26.09.21	Perugia - Alessandria	1:1
Coppa Italia
07.08.16	Perugia - Alessandria	1:0

Upcoming Matches