Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 9

Date: 7 October 2023, Saturday

Location: Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla (Cosenza)

Referee: Ghersini D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Nuova Cosenza		Lecco

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.5	4.5	Watch
	1.83	3.4	4.2
	1.85	3.5	4.2	Watch
	1.87	3.48	4.82
	1.7	3.6	4.8
	1.83	3.54	4.3	Watch
	1.83	3.45	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.75)	3.5 ↓ (3.6)	4.45 ↓ (4.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nuova Cosenza
51.8%

Draw
27%

Lecco
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

26%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

25.2%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nuova Cosenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Lecco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuova Cosenza than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lecco than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	9.1%	9.1%

Nuova Cosenza - Lecco Predictions

Users Predictions: Nuova Cosenza will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Micai A. (G) 17. Cimino B. 13. Meroni A. 23. Venturi M. 11. D'Orazio T. (C) 7. Marras M. 26. Praszelik M. 9. Tutino G. 14. Calo G. 30. Mazzocchi S. 10. Forte F.	22. Saracco U. (G) 2. Celjak V. 13. Battistini M. 17. Caporale A. 44. Guglielmotti D. 8. Sersanti A. 5. Degli Innocenti D. 27. Ionita A. 32. Lepore F. 90. Novakovich A. 99. Buso N.
Substitutes
20. Arioli A. 31. Canotto L. 19. Crespi V. 34. Florenzi A. 6. Fontanarosa A. 77. Marson L. (G) 27. Martino P. 3. Rispoli A. 2. Sgarbi F. 24. Viviani M. 42. Voca I. 21. Zilli M.	6. Bianconi A. 68. Boci B. 12. Bonadeo L. (G) 21. Crociata G. 73. Di Stefano L. 9. Eusepi U. 7. Giudici L. 83. Lemmens M. 34. Marrone L. 18. Pinzauti L. 16. Tenkorang J. 11. Tordini M.
Coaches
Caserta F.	Foschi L.

Preview

Recent matches Cosenza is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lecco has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Cosenza could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Cosenza is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nuova Cosenza
Italian Serie B
30.09.23	Pisa - Nuova Cosenza	1:2 ✺
26.09.23	Nuova Cosenza - Cremonese	1:2 ✺
22.09.23	Palermo - Nuova Cosenza	0:1 ✺
16.09.23	Nuova Cosenza - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:2 ✺
03.09.23	Brescia - Nuova Cosenza	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WLWTL
- Calcio Lecco 1912
Italian Serie B
01.10.23	Cittadella - Lecco	2:1 ✺
26.09.23	Lecco - FeralpiSalò	1:2 ✺
23.09.23	Modena - Lecco	0:0 ✺
16.09.23	Lecco - Brescia	0:2 ✺
03.09.23	Lecco - Catanzaro	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLTLL

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