Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 8

Date: 6 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla (Cosenza)

Referee: Perenzoni D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Nuova Cosenza		Südtirol-Alto Adige

	1	X	2
	2.25	3	3.5	Watch
	2.25	2.9	3.4
	2.3	2.95	3.4	Watch
	2.36	2.92	3.76
	2.32	2.88	3.68	Watch
	2.3	3	3.25
	2.33	2.91	3.58	Watch
	2.3	2.95	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.34)	2.94 ↓ (2.98)	3.5 ↑ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Nuova Cosenza
41%

Draw
32.1%

Südtirol-Alto Adige
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

31.7%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

31.9%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nuova Cosenza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Südtirol-Alto Adige has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nuova Cosenza than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	50%	30%

Nuova Cosenza - Südtirol Alto Adige Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Cosenza will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Südtirol will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Micai A. (G) 23. Venturi M. 5. Camporese M. 17. Caporale A. 16. Ricciardi M. 6. Charlys 34. Florenzi A. 11. D'Orazio T. (C) 39. Kourfalidis C. 10. Fumagalli T. 32. Strizzolo L.	1. Poluzzi G. (G) 28. Kofler R. 23. Ceppitelli L. 30. Giorgini A. 79. Molina S. 4. Arrigoni T. 27. Kurtic J. 7. Rover M. 21. Tait F. (C) 90. Odogwu R. 17. Casiraghi D.
Substitutes
19. Ciervo R. 2. Cimino B. 15. Dalle Mura C. 55. Hristov A. 28. Kouan C. 24. Mauri J. 30. Mazzocchi S. 31. Ricci G. 20. Rizzo Pinna A. 9. Sankoh M. 22. Vettorel T. (G) 21. Zilli M.	9. Crespi V. 14. Davi F. 12. Drago G. (G) 2. El Kaouakibi H. 6. Martini J. 33. Merkaj S. 19. Pietrangeli N. 99. Praszelik M. 15. Rottensteiner B. 22. Tscholl J. (G) 68. Vimercati A. 11. Zedadka K.
Coaches
Alvini M.	Valente F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Rover M. ⚽, Odogwu R. (A),
21', Venturi M. 🟨,
32', Giorgini A. 🟨,
45+3', Kurtic J. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Casiraghi D. ↓, Praszelik M. ↑,
58', Venturi M. ↓, Ciervo R. ↑,
58', Kourfalidis C. ↓, Mazzocchi S. ↑,
61', Charlys 🟨,
69', Ricciardi M. ↓, Rizzo Pinna A. ↑,
69', Charlys ↓, Mauri J. ↑,
72', Odogwu R. ↓, Merkaj S. ↑,
73', Rover M. ↓, Zedadka K. ↑,
73', Tait F. ↓, El Kaouakibi H. ↑,
75', 0 - 2, Zedadka K. ⚽, Merkaj S. (A),
77', Florenzi A. ↓, Zilli M. ↑,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cosenza won 2.

Recent matches Cosenza is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Südtirol is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cosenza could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Cosenza: Novello J. (Shoulder Injury)

There are questionable in Cosenza: Gyamfi B. (Injury)

There are questionable in Südtirol: Cagnano A. (Injury) Mallamo A. (Injury) Masiello A. (Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Cosenza won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:4 (average 1:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Cosenza won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 1.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nuova Cosenza
Italian Serie B
28.09.24	Bari - Nuova Cosenza	1:1 ✺
21.09.24	Nuova Cosenza - Sassuolo	0:1 ✺
15.09.24	Nuova Cosenza - Sampdoria	2:1 ✺
01.09.24	Palermo - Nuova Cosenza	1:1 ✺
28.08.24	Nuova Cosenza - Spezia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 TLWTT
- Südtirol-Alto Adige
Italian Serie B
30.09.24	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Palermo	1:3 ✺
21.09.24	Sampdoria - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:0 ✺
15.09.24	Reggiana - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:3 ✺
31.08.24	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Brescia	1:2 ✺
27.08.24	Carrarese - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
27.01.24	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Nuova Cosenza	0:1
16.09.23	Nuova Cosenza - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:2
18.02.23	Nuova Cosenza - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:0
17.09.22	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Nuova Cosenza	1:1
Italian Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs
10.06.18	Nuova Cosenza - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:0
06.06.18	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Nuova Cosenza	1:0

Upcoming Matches