Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 13

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadio Mario Rigamonti (Brescia)

Referee: Santoro A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Brescia		Nuova Cosenza

	1	X	2
	2.38	2.9	3.3	Watch
	2.35	3.1	3.1
	2.35	3.1	3.1	Watch
	2.42	3.13	3.59
	2.38	2.97	3.42	Watch
	2.3	3.25	3
	2.27	3.32	3.25	Watch
	2.35	3.1	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.48)	3.11 ↓ (3.18)	3.23 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brescia
40.3%

Draw
30.4%

Nuova Cosenza
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

29.8%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

28.7%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brescia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Nuova Cosenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuova Cosenza than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	33.3%	26.7%

Brescia - Nuova Cosenza Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Brescia will win (votes: 6 - 40%). Cosenza will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brescia: 15.2% – 64.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lezzerini L. (G) 18. Jallow A. 15. Cistana A. 28. Adorni D. 19. Corrado N. 26. Bertagnoli M. 6. Verreth M. 39. Besaggio M. 27. Olzer G. 29. Borrelli G. 7. Juric A.	1. Micai A. (C) 23. Venturi M. 15. Dalle Mura C. 17. Caporale A. 16. Ricciardi M. 34. Florenzi A. 28. Kouan C. 6. Charlys 19. Ciervo R. 30. Mazzocchi S. 21. Zilli M.
Substitutes
22. Andrenacci L. (G) 9. Bianchi F. 8. Bjarnason B. 16. Buhagiar T. 5. Calvani G. 23. Galazzi N. 11. Moncini G. 33. Muca Z. 20. Nuamah P. 4. Paghera F. 32. Papetti A.	5. Camporese M. 2. Cimino B. 11. D'Orazio T. 10. Fumagalli T. 55. Hristov A. 39. Kourfalidis C. 4. Martino P. 24. Mauri J. 31. Ricci G. 20. Rizzo Pinna A. 9. Sankoh M. 22. Vettorel T. (G)
Coaches
Maran R.	Alvini M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
3', Adorni D. 🟨,
11', Besaggio M. 🟨,
31', Olzer G. 🟨,
34', 0 - 1, Zilli M. ⚽, Florenzi A. (A),
45+1', 0 - 2, Mazzocchi S. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Olzer G. ↓, Bjarnason B. ↑,
53', Zilli M. ↓, Kourfalidis C. ↑,
57', Florenzi A. 🟨,
59', Corrado N. 🟨,
61', Juric A. ↓, Bianchi F. ↑,
61', Besaggio M. ↓, Nuamah P. ↑,
64', Ricciardi M. ↓, Cimino B. ↑,
64', Ciervo R. ↓, Ricci G. ↑,
66', Jallow A. 🟨,
66', Venturi M. 🟨,
77', 1 - 2, Bjarnason B. ⚽, Cistana A. (A),
80', Caporale A. 🟨,
82', Florenzi A. ↓, Mauri J. ↑,
82', Venturi M. ↓, Martino P. ↑,
87', Bertagnoli M. ↓, Moncini G. ↑,
90', 2 - 2, Bianchi F. ⚽, Bjarnason B. (A),
90+4', Borrelli G. 🟨,
90+5', 2 - 3, Charlys ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Brescia won 3.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Brescia: Paghera F. (Injury)

There will not play in Cosenza: Camporese M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Cosenza: Gyamfi B. (Injury) Novello J. (Shoulder Injury)

Last 12 head-to-head matches Brescia won 8 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 20:9 (average 1.7:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Brescia won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12:3 (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brescia Calcio
Italian Serie B
03.11.24	Sampdoria - Brescia	0:1 ✺
29.10.24	Brescia - Spezia	1:1 ✺
26.10.24	Cesena - Brescia	2:0 ✺
19.10.24	Brescia - Sassuolo	2:5 ✺
06.10.24	Mantova - Brescia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WTLLT
- Nuova Cosenza
Italian Serie B
03.11.24	Nuova Cosenza - Salernitana	1:1 ✺
29.10.24	Reggiana - Nuova Cosenza	0:1 ✺
26.10.24	Nuova Cosenza - Juve Stabia	1:1 ✺
19.10.24	Cittadella - Nuova Cosenza	0:0 ✺
06.10.24	Nuova Cosenza - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
01.04.24	Nuova Cosenza - Brescia	1:2
03.09.23	Brescia - Nuova Cosenza	1:0
01.06.23	Brescia - Nuova Cosenza	1:1
25.05.23	Nuova Cosenza - Brescia	1:0
01.05.23	Brescia - Nuova Cosenza	2:1
08.12.22	Nuova Cosenza - Brescia	1:1
05.02.22	Nuova Cosenza - Brescia	0:0

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