Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 7

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato (Cittadella)

Referee: Bortolussi A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport MIX


	Cittadella		Lecco

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.75	3.30	4.10
	1.7	3.45	4.4	Watch
	1.85	3.5	4.74
	1.7	3.63	4.51	Watch
	1.82	3.15	4.65
	1.75	3.4	4.16	Watch
	1.7	3.5	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.65)	3.42 ↓ (3.52)	4.42 ↓ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cittadella
52.4%

Draw
26.9%

Lecco
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

26.1%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1%

24.1%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cittadella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Lecco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cittadella, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lecco than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Cittadella - Lecco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
69. Zanellati A. (G) 24. Gobbato M. 4. Toffanin F. 87. Martella B. 19. D'Alessio F. 33. Frisenna G. 5. Barberis A. (C) 23. Paolucci L. 43. Ndrecka A. 10. Antonucci M. 16. Ekuban J.	22. Vettorel T. (G) 4. Comi P. 5. Arena M. 24. Sidler S. 19. Litti M. 21. Metlika A. 6. Mallamo A. 8. Bonaiti S. (C) 99. Manetti G. 17. Pellegrino G. 15. Murillo A.
Substitutes
8. Amatucci F. 7. Anastasia E. 71. Ceccarelli A. 25. Cecchetto A. 14. Crialese C. 99. Fabbro M. 11. Falcinelli D. 18. Ignatov E. 2. Maniero L. (G) 9. Mensah D. 20. Sangalli M. 22. Sommacal C. (G) 36. Zilio A.	74. Bini E. 13. Bordoni T. 9. Casarotto M. 1. Dalmasso J. (G) 83. Fama S. 30. Fasan N. 20. Mihali L. 72. Polonioli M. 3. Sinn L. 27. Triacca D. 12. Zouaghi T. (G)
Coaches
Musso R.	Valente F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Litti M. ↓, Sinn L. ↑,
52', D'Alessio F. 🟨,
55', Frisenna G. 🟨,
59', Murillo A. ↓, Capello A. ↑,
61', 1 - 0, Antonucci M. ⚽, Martella B. (A),
62', Antonucci M. 🟨,
64', Antonucci M. ↓, Mensah D. ↑,
64', Frisenna G. ↓, Amatucci F. ↑,
72', 2 - 0, Paolucci L. ⚽, Amatucci F. (A),
73', Sidler S. ↓, Fasan N. ↑,
73', Pellegrino G. ↓, Casarotto M. ↑,
77', Barberis A. ↓, Sangalli M. ↑,
77', Ekuban J. ↓, Fabbro M. ↑,
82', 3 - 0, Vettorel T. (Own goal),
83', Comi P. ↓, Mihali L. ↑,
84', Casarotto M. 🟨,
89', Gobbato M. ↓, Ceccarelli A. ↑,

Preview

The table topper faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 1st in the Promotion ~ Serie B and 11th).

Cittadella has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Performances by Lecco have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Cittadella carries the favorite tag into this contest.

Our forecast points to a victory for Cittadella in today's match, at odds of 1.77.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Cittadella has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:3 (averaging 1.5:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Cittadella against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:2 goals (averaging 2:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cittadella	9	8	0	1	16:4	12	24
15	Lecco	8	2	3	3	6:8	-2	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Cittadella
Italian Serie C Group A
20.09.26	Ospitaletto - Cittadella	0:1 ✺
17.09.26	Cittadella - Juventus U23	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	Carpi - Cittadella	1:2 ✺
06.09.26	Cittadella - Lumezzane	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
03.09.26	Cittadella - Renate	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWWWW
- Calcio Lecco 1912
Italian Serie C Group A
20.09.26	Lecco - Pergolettese	0:0 ✺
17.09.26	Desenzano Calvina - Lecco	1:3 ✺
13.09.26	Lecco - Giana Erminio	1:0 ✺
07.09.26	Trento - Lecco	1:0 ✺
31.08.26	Treviso - Lecco	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
29.03.26	Cittadella - Lecco	2:1
23.11.25	Lecco - Cittadella	0:1
Italian Serie B
01.04.24	Lecco - Cittadella	1:1
01.10.23	Cittadella - Lecco	2:1

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