Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group C - Round 38

Date: 27 April 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Nuova Monterosi		Foggia

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2	3.2	3.25
				Watch
	2.13	3.51	3.2
	2.14	3.51	3.2
	2.05	3.1	3.3
	2.11	3.23	3.37
	1.94	3.4	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.6)	3.33 ↑ (3.06)	3.3 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nuova Monterosi
44.5%

Draw
27.6%

Foggia
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

30%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

28.3%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nuova Monterosi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nuova Monterosi's performance.

Foggia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Foggia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nuova Monterosi than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nuova Monterosi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Foggia than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Nuova Monterosi - Foggia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
67. Forte F. (G) 23. Sini S. 33. Mbende E. 5. Crescenzi A. 20. Bittante L. 17. Fantacci T. 10. Frediani M. 18. Parlati S. 3. Di Renzo A. 9. Eusepi U. 11. Rossi A.	1. Perina P. (G) 2. Silvestro A. 18. Riccardi D. 15. Ercolani L. 31. Salines E. 26. Tascone S. 19. Odjer M. 16. Antonacci G. 11. Rolando M. 99. Santaniello E. 7. Schenetti A. (C)
Substitutes
13. Cinaglia D. 60. Corallini R. 77. Ferreri G. 21. Gavioli L. 29. Palazzino F. 19. Piroli D. 12. Rigon A. (G) 32. Scarsella F. 99. Silipo A. 91. Vano M. 4. Verde F.	75. Brancato A. 4. Castaldi G. 12. De Simone L. (G) 28. Di Noia G. 95. Embalo C. 37. Gagliano L. 23. Manneh K. 8. Marino A. 6. Martini J. 96. Nobile T. (G) 24. Papazov T. 9. Tonin R. 27. Vezzoni F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Parlati S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Fantacci T. ↓, Scarsella F. ↑,
46', Rossi A. ↓, Vano M. ↑,
61', Schenetti A. ↓, Martini J. ↑,
61', Silvestro A. ↓, Vezzoni F. ↑,
61', Santaniello E. ↓, Gagliano L. ↑,
69', Di Renzo A. ↓, Gavioli L. ↑,
69', Frediani M. ↓, Silipo A. ↑,
72', Silipo A. 🟨,
81', Salines E. ↓, Papazov T. ↑,
84', Crescenzi A. ↓, Palazzino F. ↑,
89', 1 - 0, Scarsella F. ⚽,
90', Rolando M. ↓, Manneh K. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A and 11).

Monterosi is Serie C ~ Group A

Two teams are playing changeable.

Monterosi will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Monterosi won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Monterosi won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nuova Monterosi FC
Italian Serie C Group C
21.04.24	Turris - Nuova Monterosi	0:0 ✺
13.04.24	Nuova Monterosi - Giugliano	3:1 ✺
07.04.24	ACR Messina - Nuova Monterosi	2:1 ✺
30.03.24	Nuova Monterosi - Benevento	1:1 ✺
23.03.24	Virtus Francavilla - Nuova Monterosi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TWLTL
- Foggia Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
21.04.24	Foggia - Audace Cerignola	1:2 ✺
13.04.24	Potenza - Foggia	0:3 ✺
05.04.24	Foggia - Casertana	0:2 ✺
30.03.24	Latina - Foggia	3:0 ✺
23.03.24	ACR Messina - Foggia	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
23.12.23	Foggia - Nuova Monterosi	2:1
25.03.23	Foggia - Nuova Monterosi	1:2
27.11.22	Nuova Monterosi - Foggia	1:1
22.12.21	Foggia - Nuova Monterosi	1:1
28.08.21	Nuova Monterosi - Foggia	0:0

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