Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 12

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani (Potenza)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254


	Potenza		Foggia

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.62	3.8	4.85
	1.49	4.29	5.73	Watch
	1.64	3.56	4.74	Watch
	1.68	3.5	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.48)	3.79 ↓ (4.14)	5.08 ↓ (5.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Potenza
57.4%

Draw
24.4%

Foggia
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62%

22.2%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

20.8%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Potenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Foggia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Potenza than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Foggia than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Potenza - Foggia Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Foggia (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Foggia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Alastra F. (G) 7. Anatriello G. 24. Bachini M. 19. Balzano M. 47. Bura R. 10. D'Auria G. 23. De Marco A. 27. Erradi B. 5. Lucas Martello 30. Petrungaro L. 14. Riggio C.	27. Borbei A. (G) 20. Buttaro A. 19. Byar N. 99. D'Amico F. 8. Garofalo V. 10. Ilicic M. 6. Minelli A. 23. Morelli G. 14. Panico C. 98. Rizzo F. 17. Sylla Y.
Substitutes
92. Bruschi N. 17. Cucchietti T. (G) 83. Gabriele G. 77. Ghisolfi M. 96. Guiotto G. (G) 28. Maisto F. 11. Mazzeo L. 35. Novella M. 21. Schimmenti E. 70. Selleri G. 31. Siatounis A.	26. Agnelli G. 9. Bevilacqua M. 40. Castaldi G. 3. Felicioli G. 11. Fossati D. 22. Magro F. (G) 18. Oliva M. 77. Olivieri E. 47. Pazienza O. 54. Pellegrino G. 1. Perucchini F. (G) 92. Winkelmann T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
24', Anatriello G. 🟨,
29', 1 - 0, Riggio C. ⚽,
33', 2 - 0, Lucas Martello ⚽,
40', D'Amico F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ilicic M. ↓, Fossati D. ↑,
55', De Marco A. 🟨,
56', Buttaro A. 🟨,
62', D'Amico F. ↓, Agnelli G. ↑,
63', Sylla Y. 🟨,
68', De Marco A. ↓, Siatounis A. ↑,
70', Agnelli G. 🟨,
74', Morelli G. ↓, Winkelmann T. ↑,
75', Buttaro A. ↓, Olivieri E. ↑,
76', D'Auria G. ↓, Ghisolfi M. ↑,
76', Lucas Martello ↓, Bruschi N. ↑,
79', 3 - 0, Bruschi N. ⚽,
84', Panico C. 🟨,
84', Erradi B. ↓, Maisto F. ↑,
84', Riggio C. ↓, Novella M. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Potenza won 1.

Potenza has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Foggia is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Potenza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Potenza has had a series of away games.

In this match, Potenza is seen as the favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Potenza won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:20. (average 0.9:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Potenza won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.8:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Potenza FC
Coppa Italia Serie C
29.10.25	Monopoli - Potenza	0:1 penalties ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
26.10.25	Nuova Cosenza - Potenza	3:0 ✺
19.10.25	Benevento - Potenza	2:0 ✺
12.10.25	Potenza - Latina	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Altamura - Potenza	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLLTT
- Foggia Calcio
Coppa Italia Serie C
28.10.25	Crotone - Foggia	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
24.10.25	Foggia - Altamura	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	Casarano - Foggia	0:2 ✺
11.10.25	Foggia - Crotone	0:3 ✺
04.10.25	Atalanta U23 - Foggia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
23.02.25	Foggia - Potenza	3:4
13.10.24	Potenza - Foggia	1:1
13.04.24	Potenza - Foggia	0:3
10.12.23	Foggia - Potenza	0:0
Italian Serie C Group A
14.05.23	Foggia - Potenza	1:1
Italian Serie C Group C
22.01.23	Foggia - Potenza	3:0
18.09.22	Potenza - Foggia	1:1

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