Match Info

Date: 27 September 2020, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Nyköping		Frej

	1	X	2
	6	4.2	1.44
	4.75	4.5	1.48
	4.9	4.8	1.46
	4.9	4.6	1.46
	5.13	4.99	1.47
	5.5	4.4	1.47
	5.05	4.7	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.18 ↑ (4.01)	4.6 ↑ (3.84)	1.47 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nyköping
17.7%

Draw
19.9%

Frej
62.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

22.5%

23.5%

54%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18%

18.8%

67.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nyköping has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Frej has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Frej's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nyköping than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Frej than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Frej could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nyköping - Frej Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Nyköpings is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Frej is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Frej could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Frej is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Nyköpings won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nyköpings BIS
Swedish Division 1 Norra
23.09.20	Nyköping - Haninge	2:6 ✺
19.09.20	Nyköping - Karlslund	1:1 ✺
13.09.20	Nyköping - Berga	1:3 ✺
06.09.20	Täby - Nyköping	0:0 ✺
02.09.20	Karlslund - Nyköping	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTLTL
- IK Frej
Swedish Division 1 Norra
23.09.20	Frej - Karlslund	3:2 ✺
19.09.20	Örebro Syrianska - Frej	1:0 ✺
12.09.20	Frej - Vasalund	1:4 ✺
02.09.20	Luleå - Frej	2:3 ✺
29.08.20	Frej - Karlstad	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
11.07.20	Frej - Nyköping	5:3

Nyköping - Frej

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Nyköping - Frej Predictions

Preview

Form

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