Match Info

2nd Division - Relegation Group - Round 27

Date: 13 May 2025, Tuesday

Location: Lollands Bank Park (Nykobing Falster)


	Nykøbing		Helsingør

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.3	2
	2.85	3.45	2.11
	2.97	4.05	2.04
	3.01	3.82	2.12	Watch
	3.1	3.3	2
	3.24	3.55	2.09	Watch
	2.85	3.45	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↓ (3.19)	3.56 ↓ (3.57)	2.07 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nykøbing
30.2%

Draw
25.6%

Helsingør
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.8%

25.7%

45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

24.4%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nykøbing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Helsingør has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nykøbing than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Helsingør than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Nykøbing - Helsingør Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Brylov M. (C) 21. Basse M. 19. Basse O. 28. Bottker M. 9. Dahl M. 23. Gartig O. 32. Jensen L. 11. Kold B. 16. Ogude E. 12. Svendsen O. 5. Ullum P.	31. Petersen H. (G) 11. Augustinus-Jensen T. 43. Bagger N. 39. Brems M. 68. Dhaflaoui S. 19. Diouf A. 22. Elmelund T. 2. Karlsen F. 8. Kassekar D. 4. Knudsen M. (C) 29. Nielsen T.
Substitutes
15. Berner R. . Larsen N. 20. Lohse W. 4. Molgaard V. 7. Nyman L. 25. Rasmussen J. (G) 10. Wass E.	48. Holmegaard N. 1. Iruarrizaga A. (G) 27. Larsen E. 5. Larsen L. 9. Linden R. 46. Sjoholm R. 45. Winding F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Bottker M. ⚽,
15', 2 - 0, Bottker M. ⚽,
20', 🟨,
21', 3 - 0, Basse M. ⚽,
26', 3 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', 🟨,
81', 3 - 2, ⚽,
87', 🟨,
90', 3 - 3, ⚽,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nykøbing won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Helsingør has had a series of home games.

Helsingør is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Nykøbing won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:26. (average 1.4:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Nykøbing won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:9. (average 2:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nykøbing FC
Danish 2 Division
09.05.25	Thisted - Nykøbing	1:1 ✺
02.05.25	Nykøbing - Ishøj IF	1:2 ✺
25.04.25	Hellerup - Nykøbing	1:1 ✺
21.04.25	Nykøbing - BK Frem	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	Nykøbing - Skive IK	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 TLTTT
- FC Helsingør
Danish 2 Division
09.05.25	Helsingør - Hellerup	1:2 ✺
03.05.25	Helsingør - Thisted	2:3 ✺
26.04.25	BK Frem - Helsingør	1:1 ✺
19.04.25	Helsingør - Ishøj IF	2:2 ✺
12.04.25	Helsingør - Næstved BK	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Danish 2 Division
08.11.24	Nykøbing - Helsingør	0:0
02.08.24	Helsingør - Nykøbing	4:0
Danish 1 Division
25.02.23	Nykøbing - Helsingør	3:0
02.09.22	Helsingør - Nykøbing	1:0
29.05.22	Helsingør - Nykøbing	2:3
09.04.22	Nykøbing - Helsingør	4:3
25.02.22	Helsingør - Nykøbing	2:0

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