Match Info

3rd Division - Round 2

Date: 9 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Lollands Bank Park (Nykobing Falster)


	Nykøbing		Holbæk

	1	X	2
	1.77	3.75	3.4
	1.77	3.8	3.5
	2.2	3.87	2.69
	2.31	3.47	2.78	Watch
	2.16	3.65	2.76
	1.82	3.8	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.9)	3.72 ↑ (3.68)	3.11 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nykøbing
45.8%

Draw
24.7%

Holbæk
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

24.6%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

25.7%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nykøbing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Holbæk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nykøbing than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holbæk than the current prediction. (-3%)

Nykøbing - Holbæk Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+3', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Nykøbing has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Holbæk is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Holbæk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Nykøbing will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nykøbing won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nykøbing FC
Danish Landspokal Cup
05.08.25	Ringsted - Nykøbing	7:6 ET ✺
Danish 3 Division
02.08.25	Hørsholm-Usserød - Nykøbing	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.25	Nykøbing - Hellerup	3:0 ✺
19.07.25	BK Frem - Nykøbing	1:4 ✺
Danish 2 Division
14.06.25	Nykøbing - Thisted	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LWWWL
- Holbæk B&I
Danish 3 Division
02.08.25	Holbæk - Lyseng	6:0 ✺
Club Friendly
22.07.25	Holbæk - Næstved BK	2:3 ✺
17.07.25	Hellerup - Holbæk	2:3 ✺
16.07.25	Fremad Amager - Holbæk	0:1 ✺
Danish 3 Division
14.06.25	VSK Aarhus - Holbæk	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.8 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Danish Landspokal Cup
07.08.19	Holbæk - Nykøbing	1:2

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