Match Info

Date: 18 May 2022, Wednesday

Location: Lollands Bank Park (Nykøbing Falster)

Referee: Svedborg B. H. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Nykøbing		Horsens

	1	X	2
	7.5	5.5	1.36	Watch
	7.25	5.25	1.33
	7.5	5.25	1.33
	6.8	5.2	1.34
	7.69	5.85	1.36
	7.5	4.75	1.3	Watch
	7.9	5.55	1.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.45 ↑ (5.75)	5.34 ↑ (4.68)	1.34 ↓ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nykøbing
12.5%

Draw
17.5%

Horsens
69.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.3%

20%

63.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.3%

20%

63.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nykøbing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Horsens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Horsens's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nykøbing than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Horsens than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Horsens, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	12.5%	75%

Nykøbing - Horsens Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Nykøbing will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Horsens will win (votes: 12 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Horsens: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Nykøbing is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Horsens is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Horsens is indisputable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Nykøbing won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Nykøbing won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nykøbing FC
Danish 1 Division
13.05.22	Fredericia - Nykøbing	5:1 ✺
07.05.22	Nykøbing - Hvidovre	2:1 ✺
30.04.22	Nykøbing - Fredericia	2:3 ✺
24.04.22	Horsens - Nykøbing	3:2 ✺
18.04.22	Hvidovre - Nykøbing	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWLLL
- AC Horsens
Danish 1 Division
13.05.22	Horsens - Helsingør	3:3 ✺
06.05.22	Horsens - Lyngby BK	2:1 ✺
29.04.22	Hvidovre - Horsens	0:1 ✺
24.04.22	Horsens - Nykøbing	3:2 ✺
16.04.22	Lyngby BK - Horsens	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
24.04.22	Horsens - Nykøbing	3:2
18.03.22	Nykøbing - Horsens	1:4
26.09.21	Horsens - Nykøbing	2:1

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