Match Info

DENMARK: LANDSPOKAL CUP - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 28 September 2023, Thursday

Location: Lollands Bank Park (Nykobing Falster)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Nykøbing		AGF Aarhus

	1	X	2
	10	5.25	1.3	Watch
	8	5.5	1.26
	9.5	6	1.25
	7.97	5.5	1.29
	9	5.5	1.22
	9.5	5.9	1.27	Watch
	8.6	5.6	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.94 ↑ (7.75)	5.61 ↑ (5.24)	1.27 ↓ (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nykøbing
10.4%

Draw
16.5%

AGF Aarhus
73.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12%

17.7%

70.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13%

16.3%

64.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nykøbing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

AGF Aarhus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nykøbing than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AGF Aarhus than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AGF Aarhus, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Nykøbing - AGF Aarhus Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Nykøbing will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Aarhus will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Brogaard T. (G) 2. Angus O. 4. Gartig E. 6. Hoholt T. 24. Jakobsen O. 3. Jensen K. 7. Kristiansson V. 20. Nnamani E. 31. Nyman L. 8. Pank J. 11. Vendelbo A. C.	45. Peacock-Farrell B. (G) 8. Anderson M. 31. Bech T. 19. Kahl E. 3. Knoester M. 15. Knudsen M. 11. Links G. 14. Molgaard T. 6. Poulsen N. 13. Serra J. 5. Tingager F.
Substitutes
28. Baltzer O. 9. Bredahl A. 12. Delvin W. 27. El-Sayed J. 23. Gartig O. 29. Larsen N. 17. Madsen S. 14. Nielsen B. 25. Rasmussen J. (G)	26. Andersen J. 4. Anker T. 16. Beck J. 2. Beijmo F. 21. Bjur P. 24. Duncan Z. 1. Hansen J. (G) 9. Mortensen P. 30. Sauer M.

Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Aarhus is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nykøbing FC
Danish 2 Division
23.09.23	Thisted - Nykøbing	2:2 ✺
16.09.23	Nykøbing - Aarhus Fremad	0:1 ✺
10.09.23	Esbjerg - Nykøbing	3:4 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
06.09.23	Tårnby - Nykøbing	0:2 ✺
Danish 2 Division
02.09.23	Nykøbing - Middelfart	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 TLWWT
- AGF Aarhus
Danish Superliga
24.09.23	Randers FC - AGF Aarhus	1:1 ✺
17.09.23	AGF Aarhus - Brøndby	0:3 ✺
03.09.23	Midtjylland - AGF Aarhus	1:1 ✺
27.08.23	AGF Aarhus - Lyngby BK	1:0 ✺
20.08.23	OB Odense - AGF Aarhus	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TLTWT

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