Match Info

DENMARK: Superliga - Round 14

Date: 3 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Ceres Park (Aarhus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
World	Onefootball


	AGF Aarhus		Lyngby BK

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.33	6.5	Watch
	1.46	4.2	6.5
	1.46	4.4	6.9	Watch
	1.49	4.46	6.85
	1.51	4.28	6.42	Watch
	1.4	4.4	6.5
	1.49	4.33	6.65	Watch
	1.46	4.4	6.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.46)	4.35 ↓ (4.55)	6.65 ↑ (6.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AGF Aarhus
64.2%

Draw
21.7%

Lyngby BK
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64%

20.5%

15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7%

19.7%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AGF Aarhus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Lyngby BK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AGF Aarhus than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyngby BK than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	8.3%	0%

AGF Aarhus - Lyngby BK Predictions

Users Predictions: AGF Aarhus will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hansen J. (G) 3. Dalsgaard H. 5. Tingager F. 19. Kahl E. 2. Beijmo F. 8. Anderson M. 6. Poulsen N. 7. Madsen M. 11. Links G. 31. Bech T. 9. Mortensen P.	32. Storch J. (G) 23. Gregor P. 12. Jensen M. 5. Lissens L. 7. Kumado W. 30. Romer M. 14. Sandgrav L. 20. Klassen L. 21. Magnusson S. 9. Abubakari M. 17. Amon J.
Substitutes
27. Akoto M. 26. Andersen J. 10. Arnstad K. 15. Badji Y. 29. Brandhof F. 20. Duelund M. 18. Gyamfi R. 13. Klaesson K. (G) 16. Power M.	6. Bjelland A. 13. Dani 26. Gytkjaer F. 3. Hamalainen B. 1. Jensen D. (G) 15. Opoku M. 8. Rasmussen M. 4. Rolland B. 11. Warming M.
Coaches
Rosler U.	Karlsen M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', Magnusson S. 🟨,
29', Romer M. 🟨,
32', Jensen M. 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Gregor P. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', Sandgrav L. ↓, Rasmussen M. ↑,
58', Romer M. ↓, Dani ↑,
60', Links G. ↓, Arnstad K. ↑,
69', Kumado W. ↓, Warming M. ↑,
78', Kahl E. ↓, Andersen J. ↑,
82', Magnusson S. ↓, Gytkjaer F. ↑,
82', Amon J. ↓, Opoku M. ↑,
88', 1 - 1, Gytkjaer F. ⚽, Storch J. (A),
90', Klassen L. 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
90+1', Abubakari M. 🟨,
90+3', Poulsen N. ↓, Duelund M. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 1, Mortensen P. ⚽, Andersen J. (A),
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Superliga (Championship Group: ) and 11 in the zone Superliga (Relegation Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Aarhus won 4.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Aarhus is certain favorite.

There will not play in Lyngby: Corlu R. (Injury)

There are questionable in Aarhus: Akoto M. (Knee Injury) Wahlstedt L. (Ankle Injury) Yakob K. (Knee Injury)

Last 18 head-to-head matches Aarhus won 8 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 18:15 (average 1:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Aarhus won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:10 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AGF Aarhus
Danish Superliga
27.10.24	Midtjylland - AGF Aarhus	2:0 ✺
21.10.24	AGF Aarhus - Brøndby	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
10.10.24	Hamburger SV - AGF Aarhus	1:1 ✺
Danish Superliga
06.10.24	Viborg - AGF Aarhus	1:1 ✺
28.09.24	AGF Aarhus - Randers FC	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWTTT
- Lyngby BK
Danish Superliga
27.10.24	Vejle Boldklub Kolding - Lyngby BK	2:0 ✺
20.10.24	Lyngby BK - Viborg	0:0 ✺
06.10.24	Randers FC - Lyngby BK	1:1 ✺
29.09.24	Lyngby BK - Silkeborg IF	2:2 ✺
22.09.24	Lyngby BK - AGF Aarhus	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Danish Superliga
22.09.24	Lyngby BK - AGF Aarhus	0:0
22.10.23	Lyngby BK - AGF Aarhus	0:2
27.08.23	AGF Aarhus - Lyngby BK	1:0
30.10.22	Lyngby BK - AGF Aarhus	0:1
15.08.22	AGF Aarhus - Lyngby BK	1:0
07.02.21	AGF Aarhus - Lyngby BK	1:0
08.11.20	Lyngby BK - AGF Aarhus	1:2

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