Match Info

DENMARK: 1ST DIVISION - RELEGATION GROUP - ROUND 30

Date: 19 May 2023, Friday

Location: Lollands Bank Park (Nykøbing Falster)

Referee: Bogelund J. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Nykøbing		Hobro

	1	X	2
	4.33	4.2	1.7	Watch
	3.9	3.6	1.77
	3.95	3.85	1.79
	4.4	4.3	1.7
	3.4	3.4	1.91	Watch
	4.1	3.92	1.79	Watch
	3.9	3.9	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4 ↑ (3)	3.88 ↑ (3.45)	1.77 ↓ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nykøbing
23.3%

Draw
24%

Hobro
52.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

26.8%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

25.9%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nykøbing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nykøbing's form might have worsened.

Hobro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hobro's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nykøbing than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nykøbing, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hobro than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hobro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	22.2%	44.4%

Nykøbing - Hobro Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Nykøbing will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Hobro will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hobro: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nykøbing won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Hobro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Hobro is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Nykøbing won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Nykøbing won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nykøbing FC
Danish 1 Division
12.05.23	Nykøbing - Hillerød	5:2 ✺
06.05.23	HB Køge - Nykøbing	3:1 ✺
28.04.23	Hobro - Nykøbing	3:1 ✺
21.04.23	Nykøbing - Fremad Amager	2:1 ✺
15.04.23	Hillerød - Nykøbing	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLLWL
- Hobro IK
Danish 1 Division
11.05.23	Hobro - Fremad Amager	1:2 ✺
05.05.23	Fredericia - Hobro	2:2 ✺
28.04.23	Hobro - Nykøbing	3:1 ✺
23.04.23	Hobro - Fredericia	0:1 ✺
16.04.23	Fremad Amager - Hobro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
28.04.23	Hobro - Nykøbing	3:1
05.03.23	Hobro - Nykøbing	2:1
26.08.22	Nykøbing - Hobro	1:1
06.11.21	Nykøbing - Hobro	3:1
23.08.21	Hobro - Nykøbing	1:2
09.04.17	Nykøbing - Hobro	1:3

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