Match Info

Date: 20 January 2021, Wednesday


	Náutico Capibaribe		Osasco Sporting

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.33	8.5	Watch
	1.34	4.33	7.5
	1.36	4.25	7	Watch
	1.37	4.3	8
	1.4	4.72	9.08
	1.36	4.2	9
	1.39	4.55	8.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.62)	4.38 ↑ (3.7)	8.21 ↑ (5.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Náutico Capibaribe
67.6%

Draw
21.1%

Osasco Sporting
11.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.4%

25%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

15.2%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Náutico Capibaribe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Náutico Capibaribe's performance.

Osasco Sporting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Osasco Sporting might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (-32.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Náutico Capibaribe that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osasco Sporting than the current prediction. (+17.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Osasco Sporting could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Náutico Capibaribe - Osasco Sporting Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 and 20 in the zone Relegation to Serie C).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Náutico could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Náutico is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Náutico won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Náutico won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Náutico Capibaribe
Brazilian Serie B
17.01.21	Ponte Preta - Náutico Capibaribe	2:0 ✺
12.01.21	Náutico Capibaribe - América Mineiro	0:0 ✺
08.01.21	Náutico Capibaribe - Paraná Clube Curitiba	2:1 ✺
04.01.21	Confiança - Náutico Capibaribe	2:0 ✺
22.12.20	Náutico Capibaribe - Cuiabá	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LTWLW
- Osasco Sporting
Brazilian Serie B
16.01.21	Osasco Sporting - Confiança	0:1 ✺
13.01.21	Cruzeiro - Osasco Sporting	0:1 ✺
08.01.21	Operário Ferroviario - Osasco Sporting	2:0 ✺
02.01.21	Osasco Sporting - Figueirense	2:1 ✺
23.12.20	Botafogo SP - Osasco Sporting	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
20.10.20	Osasco Sporting - Náutico Capibaribe	0:1
16.09.17	Osasco Sporting - Náutico Capibaribe	1:0
06.06.17	Náutico Capibaribe - Osasco Sporting	1:1
26.11.16	Náutico Capibaribe - Osasco Sporting	0:2
02.08.16	Osasco Sporting - Náutico Capibaribe	0:0
03.10.15	Osasco Sporting - Náutico Capibaribe	2:0
04.07.15	Náutico Capibaribe - Osasco Sporting	2:1

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