Match Info

Date: 13 January 2021, Wednesday


	Cruzeiro		Osasco Sporting

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.6	5.5	Watch
	1.6	3.6	4.75
	1.61	3.65	4.7	Watch
	1.59	3.5	5.6
	1.62	3.91	6.09
	1.6	3.5	5.8
	1.63	3.7	5.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.49)	3.64 ↓ (3.9)	5.45 ↓ (7.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cruzeiro
57.6%

Draw
25.4%

Osasco Sporting
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.2%

24.2%

12.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

13.8%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cruzeiro's form might have worsened.

Osasco Sporting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (-21.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cruzeiro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osasco Sporting than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Osasco Sporting could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.5%	5.7%	35.8%

Cruzeiro - Osasco Sporting Predictions

Users Predictions: 53 users predict this event. Cruzeiro will win (votes: 31 - 58.5%). Osasco Sporting will win (votes: 19 - 35.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 5.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cruzeiro: 45.2% – 71.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 13 and 20 in the zone Relegation to Serie C).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Oeste could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Cruzeiro is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Cruzeiro won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cruzeiro MG
Brazilian Serie B
08.01.21	Sampaio Corrêa - Cruzeiro	0:1 ✺
29.12.20	Cruzeiro - Cuiabá	0:0 ✺
22.12.20	Ponte Preta - Cruzeiro	2:1 ✺
18.12.20	Avaí - Cruzeiro	1:1 ✺
15.12.20	Cruzeiro - CS Alagoano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WTLTT
- Osasco Sporting
Brazilian Serie B
08.01.21	Operário Ferroviario - Osasco Sporting	2:0 ✺
02.01.21	Osasco Sporting - Figueirense	2:1 ✺
23.12.20	Botafogo SP - Osasco Sporting	1:1 ✺
18.12.20	Osasco Sporting - Vitória Salvador	2:1 ✺
15.12.20	Osasco Sporting - Cuiabá	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
11.10.20	Osasco Sporting - Cruzeiro	0:0

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