Match Info

Date: 6 March 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Náutico Capibaribe		Sergipe

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.5	8
	1.37	4.05	6.75	Watch
	1.35	4.3	7.4
	1.37	4.51	8.1
	1.35	3.9	8.5
	1.39	4.4	8.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.48)	4.28 ↑ (4)	7.81 ↑ (6.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Náutico Capibaribe
66.9%

Draw
21.4%

Sergipe
11.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

62.8%

23.2%

14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.8%

15.1%

9.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Náutico Capibaribe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Sergipe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Náutico Capibaribe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sergipe than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Náutico Capibaribe - Sergipe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 6 and 8).

Recent matches Náutico is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sergipe is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sergipe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Náutico have a series of guest games.

In this match Náutico is indisputable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Náutico won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Náutico won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Náutico Capibaribe
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
02.03.22	Náutico Capibaribe - Salgueiro	1:0 ✺
27.02.22	Afogados da Ingazeira - Náutico Capibaribe	2:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
23.02.22	Tocantinópolis - Náutico Capibaribe	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
20.02.22	CS Alagoano - Náutico Capibaribe	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
17.02.22	Vera Cruz - Náutico Capibaribe	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WTLLW
- CS Sergipe
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
02.03.22	Botafogo PB - Sergipe	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
26.02.22	Sergipe - Lagarto	2:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
23.02.22	Sergipe - Cruzeiro	0:5 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
20.02.22	Sergipe - CRB Maceio	1:2 ✺
17.02.22	Floresta - Sergipe	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
22.01.19	Sergipe - Náutico Capibaribe	0:2
Copa do Brasil
09.04.14	Náutico Capibaribe - Sergipe	2:0 penalties
12.03.14	Sergipe - Náutico Capibaribe	1:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Náutico Capibaribe
Brazilian Serie B
31.10.26	Náutico Capibaribe - Avaí	✺

Náutico Capibaribe - Sergipe