Match Info

Date: 20 February 2022, Sunday


	Sergipe		CRB Maceio

	1	X	2
	6	3	1.7
	6.75	3.35	1.5	Watch
	5.4	3.3	1.62
	6.84	2.96	1.68
	6	3.5	1.5
	5.35	3.48	1.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.06 ↑ (5.28)	3.27 ↓ (3.46)	1.61 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sergipe
15.1%

Draw
28.1%

CRB Maceio
56.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.6%

26.8%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.5%

22.1%

67.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sergipe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

CRB Maceio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sergipe than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CRB Maceio than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that CRB Maceio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sergipe - CRB Maceio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa do Nordeste (Play Offs)).

Sergipe is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches CRB is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

CRB could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match CRB is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Sergipe
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
17.02.22	Floresta - Sergipe	1:0 ✺
13.02.22	Sousa - Sergipe	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
09.02.22	Maruinense - Sergipe	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
06.02.22	Sergipe - Altos	1:3 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
03.02.22	Sergipe - Confiança	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LTTLT
- CRB Maceio
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
17.02.22	CRB Maceio - Globo FC	2:0 ✺
13.02.22	CRB Maceio - CS Alagoano	1:1 ✺
09.02.22	Campinense - CRB Maceio	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Alagoano
05.02.22	CS Alagoano - CRB Maceio	1:0 ✺
29.01.22	CRB Maceio - Cruzeiro Arapiraca	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WTTLW

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