Match Info

Serie D - Round 4

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio Doutor Hercílio Luz (Itajaí)


	Náutico Marcílio Dias		Blumenau

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.05	4.57
	1.84	3.09	4.57	Watch
	1.85	2.8	4.33
	1.88	2.99	4.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.7)	2.98 ↓ (3.27)	4.61 ↓ (4.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Náutico Marcílio Dias
49.5%

Draw
30.7%

Blumenau
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

27.7%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Náutico Marcílio Dias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Blumenau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Náutico Marcílio Dias - Blumenau Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, Josue ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Recent performances by Marcílio Dias have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Blumenau may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Marcílio Dias could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Náutico Marcílio Dias
Brazilian Serie D
18.04.26	Náutico Marcílio Dias - EC São José Porto Alegre	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Azuriz - Náutico Marcílio Dias	1:1 ✺
05.04.26	Náutico Marcílio Dias - São-Joseense	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
06.03.26	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Joinville	2:0 ✺
26.02.26	Carlos Renaux - Náutico Marcílio Dias	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WTTWL
- Blumenau EC
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense 2
21.04.26	Blumenau - Atlético Tubarão	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
18.04.26	Blumenau - Azuriz	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Blumenau - Brasil de Pelotas	3:2 ✺
04.04.26	EC São José Porto Alegre - Blumenau	0:3 ✺
Brazilian Copa Santa Catarina
09.11.25	Blumenau - Joinville	1:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 TWWWL

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