Match Info
Serie D - Round 3Date: 18 April 2026, SaturdayLocation: Estádio Doutor Hercílio Luz (Itajaí)
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Náutico Marcílio Dias |
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EC São José Porto Alegre |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.81 |
3.04 |
4.86 |
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1.8 |
2.8 |
4.6 |
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1.85 |
3.09 |
4.88 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.82 ↑ (1.78) |
2.98 ↑ (2.93) |
4.78 ↓ (4.79) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Náutico Marcílio Dias 50.2% | Draw 30.7% | EC São José Porto Alegre 19.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Náutico Marcílio Dias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)EC São José Porto Alegre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Náutico Marcílio Dias - EC São José Porto Alegre Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 42', 1 - 0, Manoel ⚽,
- 45+4', 2 - 0, Cesinha ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 73', 2 - 1, Gustavo Bagatini ⚽,
Preview
Marcílio Dias has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins). In this match, Marcílio Dias is seen as the favorite.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Marcílio Dias won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).Including home match between the teams, Marcílio Dias won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian Serie D | | | 27.07.25 | EC São José Porto Alegre - Náutico Marcílio Dias | 1:1 | | 19.04.25 | Náutico Marcílio Dias - EC São José Porto Alegre | 0:0 |
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