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Current Win Probability
Juventude 62.4%
Draw 24.2%
EC São José Porto Alegre 13.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
66.2%
23.1%
10.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
68.4%
22.4%
10.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juventude has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
EC São José Porto Alegre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Juventude, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for EC São José Porto Alegre than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
25%
0%
Juventude - EC São José Porto Alegre Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Juventude will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
93. Jandrei (G) 34. Rodrigo Sam (C) 4. Messias 47. Marcos Paulo 2. Rai Ramos 8. Lucas Mineiro 7. Pablo Roberto 44. Mandaca 30. Patryck 19. Gabriel Taliari 25. Alisson Safira
1. Fabio Rampi (C) 13. Tiago Pedra 4. Diney 3. Eduardo Melo 24. William 5. Keverton 8. Ze Vitor 6. Angelo 14. Rafael Carillho 11. Ronald Barcellos 20. Andrey Nunes
Substitutes
23. Abner 28. Alan Ruschel 17. Castro M. 88. Davi Goes 18. Emerson Galego 70. Juan Christian 15. Leo Indio 26. Ly I. 10. Marcos Paulo 22. Nathan 27. Ray Breno 21. Ruan Carneiro (G)
21. Adao 7. Caua 2. Danilo Guimaraes 22. Dieter 9. Douglas Oliveira 16. Gustavo Bagatini 17. Gustavo Lino 10. Ivo 18. Lucas Grafite 19. Pedrinho 12. Peralta A. (G) 15. Raphael Soares
Coaches
Mauricio Barbieri
Gabardo Junior
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Diney 🟨,
31', Fabio Rampi ↓, Peralta A. ↑,
42', Keverton 🟨,
45+1', Keverton 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
48', Marcos Paulo 🟨,
52', 0 - 1, Diney ⚽, Ronald Barcellos (A),
54', Marcos Paulo ↓, Juan Christian ↑,
59', Diney ↓, Dieter ↑,
59', Andrey Nunes ↓, Lucas Grafite ↑,
59', Lucas Mineiro ↓, Marcos Paulo ↑,
60', Rai Ramos ↓, Leo Indio ↑,
60', Messias ↓, Castro M. ↑,
67', Ronald Barcellos ↓, Raphael Soares ↑,
70', 0 - 2, Lucas Grafite ⚽,
78', 1 - 2, Mandaca ⚽,
86', Alisson Safira ↓, Ray Breno ↑,
86', Pablo Roberto ↓, Emerson Galego ↑,
87', Lucas Grafite ↓, Douglas Oliveira ↑,
88', Ze Vitor ↓, Caua ↑,
90', Ray Breno 🟨,
90+10', 2 - 2, Gabriel Taliari (Penalty Awarded),
90+11', 3 - 2, Ray Breno ⚽,
90+14', Ray Breno 🟨,
90+20', Pablo Roberto 🟥,
90+21', Douglas Oliveira 🟥,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juventude won 2.
Juventude is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
EC São José has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
EC São José may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Juventude is a strong favorite.
We predict that Juventude will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Juventude won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 0.9:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Juventude won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1:0.6).
Brazil
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