Match Info

Catarinense - Round 3

Date: 15 January 2026, Thursday


	Náutico Marcílio Dias		Santa Catarina

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.98	3.1	3.75
	2.03	3.25	3.72	Watch
	2	2.9	3.7
	1.97	3.06	3.78
	2.05	3	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.95)	3.06 ↓ (3.33)	3.71 ↓ (3.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Náutico Marcílio Dias
45.5%

Draw
29.8%

Santa Catarina
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

27.9%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Náutico Marcílio Dias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Santa Catarina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Náutico Marcílio Dias - Santa Catarina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matheus Cavichioli (G) 10. Cesinha 8. Felipe Baiano 5. Guilherme Kante 7. Jose Carlos 6. Kevin 4. Luan 11. Lucas Batatinha 3. Marcelo Sousa 2. Victor Guilherme 9. Ze Eduardo	1. Marcos (G) 29. Adriel 20. Alex Goncalves 7. Bruninho 8. Cleberson 6. Coruja 16. Galdino 2. Juninho 10. Mendes 25. Renan Nunes 4. Ze Leandro
Substitutes
12. Erivelton (G) 17. Evandro 19. Felipe Cruz 22. Guilherme Gehring 14. Joao Vitor 23. Joao Vitor (G) 16. Jonathan 15. Kaique Maciel 20. Miguel Silva 13. Reginaldo 18. Roldan 21. Rone	21. Beto 18. Brener 3. DVD 27. Gui Nascimento 17. Henrique Lordelo 19. Iarley 15. Kaue Oliveira 11. Marquinho 28. Pablo 14. Piaui 13. Renan 23. Vinicius Machado (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', 🟨,
33', 🟥,
44', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
71', 🟥,
78', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Marcílio Dias will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Marcílio Dias won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.3:1.8).

Including home match between the teams, Marcílio Dias won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Náutico Marcílio Dias
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
10.01.26	Figueirense - Náutico Marcílio Dias	1:0 ✺
07.01.26	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Criciúma	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Santa Catarina
09.11.25	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Figueirense	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Figueirense - Náutico Marcílio Dias	3:0 ✺
25.10.25	Santa Catarina - Náutico Marcílio Dias	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWWLT
- Santa Catarina FC
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
11.01.26	Concórdia - Santa Catarina	0:0 ✺
06.01.26	Santa Catarina - Camboriú	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa Santa Catarina
25.10.25	Santa Catarina - Náutico Marcílio Dias	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Santa Catarina	3:2 ✺
15.10.25	Santa Catarina - Brusque	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Santa Catarina
25.10.25	Santa Catarina - Náutico Marcílio Dias	1:1
18.10.25	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Santa Catarina	3:2
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
04.03.25	Santa Catarina - Náutico Marcílio Dias	2:0
30.01.25	Santa Catarina - Náutico Marcílio Dias	2:1

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