Match Info

Catarinense - Round 1

Date: 7 January 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	SportyNet


	Náutico Marcílio Dias		Criciúma

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3	2.95	2.2
	3.6	2.98	2.1
	3.32	2.97	2.2	Watch
	3.6	2.8	2.05
	3.14	2.98	2.34
	4	2.85	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.44 ↓ (3.46)	2.92 ↓ (3.16)	2.15 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Náutico Marcílio Dias
26.4%

Draw
31.2%

Criciúma
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.4%

28.9%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Náutico Marcílio Dias have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Criciúma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Náutico Marcílio Dias - Criciúma Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matheus Cavichioli (G) 10. Cesinha 8. Felipe Baiano 5. Guilherme Kante 7. Jose Carlos 6. Kevin 4. Luan 11. Lucas Batatinha 3. Marcelo Sousa 2. Victor Guilherme (C) 9. Ze Eduardo	1. Georgemy (G) 6. Cesar Martins 7. Diego Goncalves 8. Guilherme Lobo 10. Jhonata Robert 4. Luciano Castan 2. Marcinho 9. Nicolas 24. Nufour S. 3. Rodrigo (C) 11. Waguininho
Substitutes
12. Erivelton (G) 18. Evandro 19. Felipe Cruz 17. Guilherme Gehring 23. Joao Vitor 16. Jonathan 15. Kaique Maciel 20. Miguel Silva 14. Ranghetti L. 22. Ratis 13. Reginaldo 21. Rone	17. Borasi B. 14. Eliel Costa 15. Hiago Alves 21. Joao Carlos 22. Marcelo Hermes 13. Octavio Henrique 20. Sandry 12. Santos P. 19. Thales 16. Willean Lepo

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', Nufour S. 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Jose Carlos ⚽,
37', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Nufour S. ↓, Marcelo Hermes ↑,
57', Lucas Batatinha ↓, Kaique Maciel ↑,
62', Ze Eduardo 🟨,
65', Felipe Baiano 🟨,
65', Nicolas ↓, Borasi B. ↑,
66', Marcinho ↓, Willean Lepo ↑,
78', Felipe Baiano ↓, Felipe Cruz ↑,
78', Jhonata Robert ↓, Sandry ↑,
79', Ze Eduardo ↓, Evandro ↑,
80', Diego Goncalves ↓, Joao Carlos ↑,
90+5', 2 - 0, Felipe Cruz ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marcílio Dias won 2.

Criciúma is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Marcílio Dias won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 0.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Marcílio Dias won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Náutico Marcílio Dias
Brazilian Copa Santa Catarina
09.11.25	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Figueirense	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Figueirense - Náutico Marcílio Dias	3:0 ✺
25.10.25	Santa Catarina - Náutico Marcílio Dias	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Santa Catarina	3:2 ✺
12.10.25	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Barra Santa Catarina	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLTWW
- Criciúma EC
Brazilian Serie B
23.11.25	Cuiabá - Criciúma	1:0 ✺
16.11.25	Criciúma - Botafogo SP	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	Criciúma - Atlético Goianiense	1:0 ✺
31.10.25	Ferroviária - Criciúma	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Santa Catarina
27.10.25	Criciúma - Joinville	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
15.02.25	Criciúma - Náutico Marcílio Dias	0:0
31.01.24	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Criciúma	1:0
Brazilian Recopa Catarinense
16.01.24	Criciúma - Náutico Marcílio Dias	2:0
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
26.01.23	Criciúma - Náutico Marcílio Dias	0:1
04.04.21	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Criciúma	1:1
30.07.20	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Criciúma	0:1
08.07.20	Criciúma - Náutico Marcílio Dias	0:0

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