Match Info
Catarinense U20 - Round 17Date: 25 July 2025, Friday
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Náutico Marcílio Dias U20 |
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Figueirense U20 |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.56 |
3.2 |
2.5 |
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2.82 |
3.37 |
2.30 |
Watch |
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2.54 |
3.18 |
2.49 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.64 ↑ (2.48) |
3.25 ↑ (3.17) |
2.43 ↓ (2.55) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Náutico Marcílio Dias U20 34.5% | Draw 28% | Figueirense U20 37.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Náutico Marcílio Dias U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Figueirense U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Marcílio Dias U20 than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Figueirense U20 than the current prediction. (-2.8%) 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 25', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 29', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 33', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 61', 3 - 1, ⚽,
- 67', 4 - 1, ⚽,
- 69', 4 - 2, ⚽,
- 82', 4 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Catarinense U20 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).Marcílio Dias U20 has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).In recent matches, Figueirense U20 has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2). In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Marcílio Dias U20 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian Catarinense U20 | | | 23.05.25 | Figueirense U20 - Náutico Marcílio Dias U20 | 3:1 | | 30.04.24 | Figueirense U20 - Náutico Marcílio Dias U20 | 1:2 |
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