Match Info

Catarinense U20 - Round 15

Date: 12 July 2025, Saturday


	Avaí U20		Náutico Marcílio Dias U20

	1	X	2
	1.47	4.09	5.38
				Watch
	1.47	4.1	5.74
	1.42	4.05	4.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.42)	4.08 ↑ (4.05)	5.36 ↑ (4.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avaí U20
61.5%

Draw
21.9%

Náutico Marcílio Dias U20
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.1%

21.4%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4%

20.3%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avaí U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Náutico Marcílio Dias U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avaí U20 than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náutico Marcílio Dias U20 than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
81', 🟥,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 5 and 8).

Recent form of Avaí U20 has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Marcílio Dias U20 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Marcílio Dias U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Avaí U20 is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Avaí U20 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Avaí U20 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avaí U20
Brazilian Catarinense U20
09.07.25	Brusque U20 - Avaí U20	1:1 ✺
05.07.25	Barra Santa Catarina U20 - Avaí U20	2:2 ✺
02.07.25	Avaí U20 - Chapecoense U20	1:2 ✺
25.06.25	Criciúma U20 - Avaí U20	1:0 ✺
21.06.25	Avaí U20 - Concórdia U20	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TTLLT
- Náutico Marcílio Dias U20
Brazilian Catarinense U20
02.07.25	Náutico Marcílio Dias U20 - Nação Araquari U20	0:3 ✺
25.06.25	Barra Santa Catarina U20 - Náutico Marcílio Dias U20	3:0 ✺
20.06.25	Náutico Marcílio Dias U20 - Brusque U20	1:1 ✺
14.06.25	Náutico Marcílio Dias U20 - Joinville U20	2:1 ✺
07.06.25	Concórdia U20 - Náutico Marcílio Dias U20	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Catarinense U20
09.05.25	Náutico Marcílio Dias U20 - Avaí U20	0:1
15.06.24	Avaí U20 - Náutico Marcílio Dias U20	2:2
17.04.24	Náutico Marcílio Dias U20 - Avaí U20	2:0

Avaí U20 - Náutico Marcílio Dias U20: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide