Match Info
Catarinense U20 - Round 11Date: 14 June 2025, Saturday
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 |
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Náutico Marcílio Dias U20 |
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Joinville U20 |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.45 |
3.4 |
2.4 |
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 |
1.96 |
3.54 |
3.19 |
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 |
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 Watch |
 |
1.97 |
3.5 |
3.5 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.13 ↓
(2.4) |
3.48 ↑
(3.4) |
3.03 ↑
(2.4) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Náutico Marcílio Dias U20
43.2% | Draw
26.4% | Joinville U20
30.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Náutico Marcílio Dias U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Náutico Marcílio Dias U20's performance.Joinville U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Joinville U20 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náutico Marcílio Dias U20 than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Náutico Marcílio Dias U20 that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joinville U20 than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Joinville U20 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Náutico Marcílio Dias U20 - Joinville U20 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 10', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 17', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 60', 🟥,
- 68', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 and 6).Marcílio Dias U20 is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).Joinville U20 has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Joinville U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Marcílio Dias U20 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.Including home match between the teams, Marcílio Dias U20 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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