Match Info

FINLAND: Kakkonen Group C

Date: 29 June 2024, Saturday

Location: Mosedal (Närpiö)


	Närpes		Oulun Palloseura

	1	X	2
	1.52	4.1	4.6
	1.56	4.35	4.75
	1.57	4.72	4.52
	1.5	4.78	4.66
	1.5	4.2	4.5
	1.51	4.6	5.05
	1.55	4.3	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.42)	4.44 ↓ (4.6)	4.65 ↓ (5.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Närpes
59.7%

Draw
20.6%

Oulun Palloseura
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.8%

19.4%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5%

18.3%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Närpes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Oulun Palloseura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Närpes than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Närpes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oulun Palloseura than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Närpes - Oulun Palloseura Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Eriksson Z. (G) 16. Avdili A. 2. Hammarstrom O. 13. Ibric N. 9. Isanovic S. 10. Jarvinen A. 7. Kalabic A. 22. Larka A. 19. Pomba L. 11. Sparv A. 17. Tkachenko V.	1. Obinna A. G. (G) 8. Ajayi O. 17. Banywesize A. 5. Blomberg R. 10. Chukwu C. 20. Chukwu D. 16. Juntunen M. 25. Nzekwe M. 6. Orishani F. 19. Poutiainen T. 9. Vaaraniemi J.
Substitutes
6. Bjorkqvist T. 31. Eriksson K. (G) 3. Laine H. 4. Muzyka O. 30. Skogman E. 18. Westerholm A. 24. Zakaria S.	13. Kilpelanaho L. 15. Mwai D. 12. Pekkala V. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', Obinna A. G. 🟨,
13', 1 - 0, Isanovic S. (Pen),
29', Chukwu C. 🟨,
38', Orishani F. 🟨,
39', Nzekwe M. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
46', Poutiainen T. ↓, Mwai D. ↑,
50', 2 - 0, Kalabic A. ⚽,
52', 3 - 0, Ibric N. ⚽,
54', Obinna A. G. ↓, Pekkala V. ↑,
65', 4 - 0, Isanovic S. ⚽,
68', Tkachenko V. ↓, Muzyka O. ↑,
68', Sparv A. ↓, Bjorkqvist T. ↑,
68', Pomba L. ↓, Zakaria S. ↑,
72', 4 - 1, (Own goal),
75', Kalabic A. ↓, Skogman E. ↑,
79', Jarvinen A. ↓, Laine H. ↑,
82', Zakaria S. 🟨,
85', Skogman E. 🟨,
90+1', 5 - 1, Avdili A. ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Kakkonen Group C (Winners stage: ) and 9 in the zone Kakkonen Group C (Losers stage: )).

Recent matches Närpes is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

OPS is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

OPS could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Närpes is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Närpes won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Närpes won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Närpes Kraft Fotbollsförening
Finnish Kakkonen Group C
19.06.24	Närpes - JS Hercules	3:1 ✺
15.06.24	Kuopion Elo - Närpes	4:1 ✺
08.06.24	SJK Akatemia 2 - Närpes	2:3 ✺
02.06.24	Närpes - TP-47	2:2 ✺
26.05.24	Närpes - JPS	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WLWTT
- Oulun Palloseura
Finnish Kakkonen Group C
19.06.24	TP-47 - Oulun Palloseura	5:0 ✺
08.06.24	Oulun Palloseura - JBK	0:1 ✺
02.06.24	JPS - Oulun Palloseura	6:2 ✺
24.05.24	Oulun Palloseura - JS Hercules	3:0 ✺
19.05.24	Kuopion Elo - Oulun Palloseura	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kakkonen Group C
20.04.24	Oulun Palloseura - Närpes	2:2
01.10.16	Närpes - Oulun Palloseura	3:1

Närpes - Oulun Palloseura: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide