Match Info

Kakkonen Group C - Losers stage

Date: 7 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Mosedal (Närpiö)


	Närpes		VIFK

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.8	2.95
	2.12	4.05	2.7
	2.1	4.1	2.75
	2.30	3.88	2.54	Watch
	2.18	3.94	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (2.02)	3.95 ↑ (3.82)	2.75 ↓ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Närpes
43.3%

Draw
23.3%

VIFK
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

24%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

22.7%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Närpes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

VIFK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Närpes than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for VIFK than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Närpes - VIFK Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Eriksson Z. (G) 8. Avdili A. 5. Badnjevic R. 20. Bergvik V. 9. Franklin M. 13. Ibric N. (C) 15. Kadic B. 7. Kalabic A. 3. Laine H. 30. Skogman E. 11. Sparv A.	1. Kaarre M. (G) 16. Bage J. 3. Bergvik A. 2. Birhane M. 14. Doudi A. 20. Etoka L. 30. Kald M. 15. Kautonen T. 10. Morrissey S. 5. Nuutinen A. 11. Stromback V.
Substitutes
27. Juslin F. 10. Kronholm A. 4. Lo Giudice G. 31. Norrgard J. (G) 19. Pomba L. 14. Sabanovic A. 17. Velic A.	23. Back A. 26. Chebotarev S. 21. Jarvinen O. 31. Jonn A. 29. Matilainen O. 25. Onyeaghala F. 17. Storm Z. 24. Stromsholm N. 12. Vironen A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Bage J. 🟨,
24', Skogman E. 🟨,
31', Avdili A. 🟨,
45+2', Sparv A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Sparv A. ↓, Kronholm A. ↑,
55', Bergvik V. 🟨,
62', 1 - 0, Franklin M. ⚽,
67', Kadic B. 🟨,
69', Doudi A. ↓, Chebotarev S. ↑,
69', Bergvik A. ↓, Jarvinen O. ↑,
71', 🟥,
71', 🟨,
72', Kadic B. ↓, Sabanovic A. ↑,
74', Nuutinen A. 🟨,
76', Birhane M. ↓, Back A. ↑,
78', Bergvik V. ↓, Lo Giudice G. ↑,
84', 2 - 0, Franklin M. ⚽,
86', Franklin M. ↓, Pomba L. ↑,
87', Ibric N. ↓, Juslin F. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Närpes won 3.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Närpes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Närpes will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Närpes won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:22. (average 1.5:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Närpes won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.8:2.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Närpes Kraft Fotbollsförening
Finnish Kakkonen Group C
16.08.25	VPS 2 - Närpes	4:0 ✺
09.08.25	Närpes - TP-47	1:2 ✺
26.07.25	Närpes - OsPa	2:3 ✺
19.07.25	VIFK - Närpes	0:2 ✺
10.07.25	Närpes - JBK	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLLWL
- VIFK
Finnish Kakkonen Group C
31.08.25	JS Hercules - VIFK	1:2 ✺
09.08.25	OsPa - VIFK	10:2 ✺
01.08.25	VIFK - GBK Kokkola	1:3 ✺
29.07.25	SJK Akatemia 2 - VIFK	6:0 ✺
19.07.25	VIFK - Närpes	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kakkonen Group C
19.07.25	VIFK - Närpes	0:2
18.05.25	Närpes - VIFK	3:1
01.10.23	VIFK - Närpes	1:0
08.07.23	Närpes - VIFK	4:3
19.08.22	VIFK - Närpes	2:1
02.07.22	Närpes - VIFK	0:1
05.09.21	Närpes - VIFK	1:3

Närpes - VIFK: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide