The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
JS Hercules 39.7%
Draw 22.1%
VIFK 38.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.8%
20.7%
41.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.7%
19%
45.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
JS Hercules has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
VIFK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for JS Hercules than the current prediction. (-5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for VIFK than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that VIFK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
JS Hercules - VIFK Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Niinivaara J. (G) 8. Huitsi E. 30. Jauhiainen A. 24. Jibrin A. 22. Keskitalo E. 19. Korkala V. (C) 13. Kotilainen E. 9. Kurvinen J. 98. Matikainen L. 23. Pahti A. 29. Riihiaho A.
12. Kaarre M. (G) 18. Achkir S. 16. Bage J. 26. Chebotarev S. 14. Doudi A. (C) 21. Jarvinen O. 30. Kald M. 10. Morrissey S. 20. Myllari W. 19. Osteraker A. 35. Stromback V.
Substitutes
11. Ainasoja A. 6. Karppelin A. 28. Korkala A. 15. Meglinski N. 91. Oksanen N. 20. Rajalahti A. 10. Sarajarvi K. 72. Slewa G. (G) 4. Taumberger H.
13. Back A. 25. Onyeaghala F. 44. Rajala J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
8', Kurvinen J. 🟨,
27', 0 - 1, Morrissey S. ⚽,
33', Korkala V. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Kurvinen J. ↓, Karppelin A. ↑,
46', Matikainen L. ↓, Rajalahti A. ↑,
55', 1 - 1, Korkala V. ⚽,
59', Huitsi E. ↓, Sarajarvi K. ↑,
60', Keskitalo E. 🟨,
67', Rajala J. ↓, Onyeaghala F. ↑,
68', 1 - 2, Morrissey S. ⚽,
78', Karppelin A. 🟨,
84', Keskitalo E. ↓, Ainasoja A. ↑,
84', Pahti A. ↓, Korkala A. ↑,
89', Chebotarev S. ↓, Back A. ↑,
90+3', Kaarre M. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, JS Hercules won 1.
JS Hercules is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
VIFK has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, JS Hercules won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:19. (average 1.2:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, JS Hercules won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.3:1.8).