Match Info

DENMARK: 1ST DIVISION - ROUND 21

Date: 9 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Tintshop Park (Naestved)

Referee: Voergaard A. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Næstved BK		Fredericia

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.6	2.1
	3.1	3.4	2.05
	3.25	3.7	2.04	Watch
	3.32	3.75	2.17
	3.32	3.75	2.09
	3.24	3.72	2.05	Watch
	3.25	3.45	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↑ (3.23)	3.62 ↓ (3.67)	2.08 ↓ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Næstved BK
28.7%

Draw
26%

Fredericia
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

25.7%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

25.4%

45.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Næstved BK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Fredericia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Næstved BK than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fredericia than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Næstved BK - Fredericia Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Næstved will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Fredericia will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dannevang N. (G) 19. Henriksen L. 22. Overgaard C. J. 4. Bust L. 16. Hellman E. 26. Girmai N. 90. Carlson M. 15. Friedrich C. 8. Kongstedt M. 9. Christensen F. 23. Ellegaard F.	1. Lamhauge M. (G) 14. Dahl A. 4. Fischer M. 18. Juelsgaard J. 2. Ritter N. 24. Hetemi L. 21. Berger S. 17. Gammelgaard C. 11. Jakobsen A. 15. Simonsen E. 12. Carstensen F.
Substitutes
10. Ayer Boya K. 2. Banda P. 32. Holm M. 5. Host M. 18. Jorgensen J. 14. Jorgensen M. 24. Kjaer Mikkelsen V. 20. Rygaard B. 3. Souare B.	20. Baekgard S. 3. Brinch J. 19. Dall E. 9. Egelund P. 22. Jessen J. 5. Juhl M. 7. Marcussen G. 33. Mehder F. (G) 8. Wohlgemuth M.
Coaches
Braune P.	Hansen M.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 11 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )).

Næstved is 1st Division (Relegation Group )

Fredericia is Qualified for 1st Division (Promotion Group )

Last 5 head-to-head matches Næstved won 2.

Recent matches Næstved is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fredericia is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Næstved could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Fredericia will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Næstved won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 19-25.

Including matches at home between the teams Næstved won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Næstved BK
Danish 1 Division
03.03.24	Næstved BK - Horsens	1:1 ✺
24.02.24	B.93 Copenhagen - Næstved BK	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
18.02.24	Roskilde - Næstved BK	1:2 ✺
03.02.24	Næstved BK - Fremad Amager	0:3 ✺
27.01.24	Næstved BK - Nykøbing	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TTWLL
- FC Fredericia
Danish 1 Division
01.03.24	Fredericia - Aalborg BK	2:3 ✺
25.02.24	Hobro - Fredericia	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
16.02.24	Fredericia - SønderjyskE	0:1 ✺
30.01.24	Midtjylland - Fredericia	7:0 ✺
26.01.24	Brøndby - Fredericia	9:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
01.10.23	Fredericia - Næstved BK	4:1
Club Friendly
03.02.23	Næstved BK - Fredericia	0:3
Danish 1 Division
06.11.22	Næstved BK - Fredericia	5:0
29.07.22	Fredericia - Næstved BK	0:1
10.07.20	Fredericia - Næstved BK	3:2
03.11.19	Næstved BK - Fredericia	1:1
11.08.19	Fredericia - Næstved BK	3:1

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