Match Info

DENMARK: 1st Division - Round 14

Date: 27 October 2024, Sunday

Location: DS Arena (Hobro)

Referee: Kobberrod J. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Elisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Hobro		Fredericia

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.6	3
	2.15	3.5	2.8
	2.19	3.7	2.9	Watch
	2.22	3.87	2.97
	2.21	3.7	2.92	Watch
	2.3	3.6	2.5
	2.22	3.78	2.85	Watch
	2.19	3.7	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.24)	3.68 ↓ (3.82)	2.86 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hobro
42.1%

Draw
25.3%

Fredericia
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

24.5%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

25.4%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hobro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Fredericia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hobro than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fredericia than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	44.4%	55.6%

Hobro - Fredericia Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Fredericia will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fredericia: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Dakir J. (G) 7. Klitten O. 18. Sogaard E. 12. Jacobsen M. 4. Dorph O. 27. Klitten L. 11. Kristensen M. 17. Hyltoft Z. 10. Rasmussen V. 14. Cornelius J. 9. Andreasen S.	90. Birkso V. (G) 14. Dahl A. 4. Kudsk J. 5. Rieper F. 17. Kristjansson D. F. 6. Winther F. 13. Madsen W. 8. Jessen J. 97. Buch O. 16. Bondergaard A. 7. Marcussen G.
Substitutes
40. Boye M. 23. Bruhn M. 20. Compaore M. 16. Meedom O. 47. Nathan A. 22. Nielsen M. 29. Norby L. 8. Pedersen M. 1. Sondergaard A. (G)	3. Andersen A. 19. Dall E. 20. Haarbo D. 18. Juelsgaard J. 1. Lamhauge M. (G) 21. Lindekilde J. 98. Mucolli A. 2. Thogersen D.
Coaches
Thomsen M.	Hansen M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Cornelius J. ⚽, Sogaard E. (A),
39', 1 - 1, Kudsk J. ⚽, Madsen W. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Jessen J. ↓, Lindekilde J. ↑,
60', Buch O. 🟨,
61', Winther F. 🟨,
66', Winther F. ↓, Mucolli A. ↑,
68', 1 - 2, Marcussen G. ⚽,
71', Rasmussen V. ↓, Pedersen M. ↑,
71', Cornelius J. ↓, Bruhn M. ↑,
75', Dorph O. 🟥,
78', Sogaard E. 🟨,
81', 1 - 3, Bondergaard A. ⚽, Marcussen G. (A),
82', Hyltoft Z. ↓, Nathan A. ↑,
82', Kristjansson D. F. ↓, Thogersen D. ↑,
82', Andreasen S. ↓, Nielsen M. ↑,
87', Klitten O. ↓, Norby L. ↑,
87', Buch O. ↓, Haarbo D. ↑,
87', Marcussen G. ↓, Dall E. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 4, Haarbo D. ⚽,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hobro won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Hobro won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 25:27 (average 1.3:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Hobro won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11:11 (average 1.2:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hobro IK
Danish 1 Division
18.10.24	HB Køge - Hobro	4:1 ✺
04.10.24	Hobro - Roskilde	4:1 ✺
28.09.24	Horsens - Hobro	2:0 ✺
20.09.24	Hobro - Kolding IF	1:0 ✺
16.09.24	Fredericia - Hobro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWLWT
- FC Fredericia
Danish 1 Division
19.10.24	Esbjerg - Fredericia	0:3 ✺
05.10.24	Fredericia - Horsens	1:2 ✺
28.09.24	Fredericia - B.93 Copenhagen	3:0 ✺
23.09.24	Hillerød - Fredericia	0:3 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
19.09.24	Fredericia - Aalborg BK	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
16.09.24	Fredericia - Hobro	1:1
02.06.24	Fredericia - Hobro	0:1
20.04.24	Hobro - Fredericia	1:2
25.02.24	Hobro - Fredericia	0:2
23.07.23	Fredericia - Hobro	0:2
05.05.23	Fredericia - Hobro	2:2
23.04.23	Hobro - Fredericia	0:1

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