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Current Win Probability
Thisted 25.7%
Draw 24.9%
Roskilde 49.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.7%
25.1%
52.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.3%
24.7%
53.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Thisted has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
Roskilde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thisted than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roskilde than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Thisted - Roskilde Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+2', 0 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 12th in the 2nd Division (Relegation Group: ) and 4th in the Promotion - 2nd Division (Promotion Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Thisted won 2.
Thisted is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Roskilde is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Thisted may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Roskilde carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Thisted has recorded 6 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 21:21 (averaging 1.5:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Thisted against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 7:9 goals (averaging 1.2:1.5 per game).